The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Section Paloise 51.9%
Draw 4.6%
Bordeaux Bègles 43.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.2%
4.4%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.9%
4.2%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Section Paloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Section Paloise's form might have worsened.
Bordeaux Bègles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bordeaux Bègles's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Section Paloise, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux Bègles than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bordeaux Bègles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
93.7%
0%
6.2%
Section Paloise - Bordeaux Bègles Predictions
Users Predictions:
Section Paloise will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%). Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Section Paloise will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kaulashvili L.
1. Poirot J.
2. Montoya J.
2. Lamothe M.
3. Laclayat T.
3. Sadie C.
4. Auradou H.
4. Palu B.
5. Maximin J.
5. Coleman A.
6. Gorgadze B. (C)
6. Gazzotti M.
7. Zegueur S.
7. Woki C.
8. Isa F.
8. Matiu T.
9. Daubagna T.
9. Lucu M. (C)
10. Desperes A.
10. Laharrague J.
11. Luc A.
11. Rayasi S.
12. Hewat R.
12. Janse van Rensburg R.
13. Decron N.
13. Uberti P.
14. Grandidier-Nkanang A.
14. Penaud D.
15. Maddocks J.
15. Buros R.
Substitutes
16. Delhommel Y.
16. Sa C.
17. Seneca R.
17. Perchaud M.
18. Whitelock L.
18. Cazeaux C.
19. Credoz L.
19. Vergnes-Taillefer B.
20. Robson D.
20. Retiere A.
21. Mondinat C.
21. Tambwe M.
22. Arfeuil G.
22. Falatea S.
23. Tokolahi S.
23. Tameifuna B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (17 - 12)
13', Gazzotti M. (Try),
14', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
19', Decron N. (Try),
20', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
22', Hewat R. (Try),
22', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
28', Woki C. (Try),
30', Uberti P. 🟨,
30', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (22 - 5)
51', Buros R. (Try),
58', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
61', Grandidier-Nkanang A. (Try),
66', Robson D. (Try),
66', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
72', Seneca R. (Try),
72', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 3.
Recent performances by Section Paloise have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bordeaux Bègles is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Bordeaux Bègles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Section Paloise is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
We predict that Section Paloise will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 429:474. (average 21.5:23.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Section Paloise won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 258:217. (average 25.8:21.7).
France
Portugal
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Kaulashvili L. 
Poirot J. 
Montoya J. 
Sadie C. 
Coleman A. 
Rayasi S. 
Whitelock L. 
Robson D. 
Tambwe M. 
Tokolahi S. 
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