Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Mayol (Toulon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
France	beIN Sports 3, France 2
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player


	Toulon		Stormers

	1	X	2
	1.4	23	3
	1.43	19	2.95
	1.43	20.55	3.04	Watch
	1.44	21	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.47)	20.89 ↓ (23.33)	2.97 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulon
64.6%

Draw
4.4%

Stormers
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

3.9%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Stormers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Toulon - Stormers Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Toulon will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:25

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gros J.	1. Kebble O.
2. Baubigny T.	2. Venter A.
3. Sinckler K.	3. Fouche N.
4. Mezou C.	4. Smith A.
5. Ribbans D. (C)	5. Evans C.
6. Kpoku J.	6. de Villiers P.
7. Ollivon C.	7. Dayimani H.
8. Shioshvili M.	8. Roos E.
9. White B.	9. Reinach C.
10. Albornoz T.	10. Matthee J.
11. Tuicuvu S.	11. Zas L.
12. Frisch A.	12. du Plessis D.
13. Brex N.	13. Nel R. (C)
14. Drean G.	14. Willemse D.
15. Domon M.	15. Gelant W.
Substitutes
16. Lucchesi G.	16. Fourie D.
17. Priso D.	17. Mchunu N.
18. Gigashvili B.	18. Porthen Z.
19. Javakhia G.	19. Schickerling J.
20. Halagahu M.	20. Theunissen M.
21. Mercer Z.	21. Khan I.
22. Ferte M.	22. Feinberg-Mngomezulu S.
23. Nonu M.	23. Simelane W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 13)
9', White B. (Try),
10', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
20', Matthee J. (Penalty Goal),
24', Smith A. (Try),
25', Matthee J. (Conversion Goal),
30', Drean G. (Try),
31', Albornoz T. (Conversion Goal),
35', Matthee J. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 14)
53', Roos E. (Try),
55', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
58', Ferte M. (Try),
59', Albornoz T. (Conversion Goal),
66', Tuicuvu S. (Try),
67', Albornoz T. (Conversion Goal),
73', Halagahu M. 🟨,
78', Khan I. (Try),
78', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
80', Nonu M. 🟨,

Preview

Toulon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Toulon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Toulonnais
French Top 14
28.03.26	Perpignan - Toulon	34:20 ✺
21.03.26	Toulon - Stade Français	27:46 ✺
28.02.26	Lyon - Toulon	13:13 ✺
14.02.26	Toulon - Clermont	14:34 ✺
01.02.26	Section Paloise - Toulon	32:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Stormers Rugby
United Rugby Championship
28.03.26	Stormers - Edinburgh	33:14 ✺
22.03.26	Stormers - Newport Gwent Dragons	29:21 ✺
14.03.26	Blue Bulls - Stormers	19:32 ✺
28.02.26	Lions - Stormers	24:10 ✺
31.01.26	Sharks - Stormers	36:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
07.12.24	Stormers - Toulon	14:24

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