Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 15

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Cape Town Stadium (Cape Town)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player


	Stormers		Connacht

	1	X	2
	1.04	51	10
	1.04	35	10
	1.04	32.46	12.32	Watch
	1.03	34	11
	1.04	34	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.05)	37.29 ↑ (32.16)	11.66 ↑ (10.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-22)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stormers
89.5%

Draw
2.5%

Connacht
8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

88.6%

2.9%

8.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stormers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stormers - Connacht Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Stormers will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 38:16

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 7)
2nd Half (14 - 26)

Preview

Stormers has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Connacht is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Connacht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stormers is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stormers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 148:100. (average 29.6:20).

Including home matches between the teams, Stormers won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 115:69. (average 38.3:23).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Stormers	3	2	0	1	81:54	11
14	Connacht	3	1	0	2	56:84	5

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Stormers: 16.63% Connacht: 1.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stormers Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
04.04.26	Toulon - Stormers	28:27 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.03.26	Stormers - Edinburgh	33:14 ✺
22.03.26	Stormers - Newport Gwent Dragons	29:21 ✺
14.03.26	Blue Bulls - Stormers	19:32 ✺
28.02.26	Lions - Stormers	24:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL
- Connacht Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
11.04.26	Montpellier - Connacht	45:22 ✺
03.04.26	Connacht - Sharks	29:12 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.03.26	Connacht - Ospreys	21:14 ✺
20.03.26	Ulster - Connacht	19:26 ✺
13.03.26	Connacht - Llanelli Scarlets	31:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
19.04.25	Stormers - Connacht	34:29
18.05.24	Connacht - Stormers	12:16
13.05.23	Stormers - Connacht	43:25
24.09.22	Stormers - Connacht	38:15
26.02.22	Connacht - Stormers	19:17

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