Match Info

NPC - Round 4

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Trafalgar Park (Nelson) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	11:05	Stan Sport
Mexico	19:05	Disney+
New Zealand	13:05	Sky Sport 2
International	01:05	RugbyPass TV


	Tasman		Southland

	1	X	2
	1.12	26	6.5
	1.12	40	6
	1.14	28.59	5.97	Watch
	1.1	32	5.1
	1.1	36	7
	1.12	40	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.13)	33.77 ↑ (29.85)	6.1 ↓ (6.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tasman
82.2%

Draw
2.7%

Southland
15.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

81.9%

3.1%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tasman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Southland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Tasman - Southland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 42:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 12)
2nd Half (34 - 5)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tasman won 5.

In this match, Tasman is the clear favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tasman won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 456:190. (average 41.5:17.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tasman won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 338:123. (average 42.3:15.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tasman Rugby
New Zealand NPC
16.08.26	Counties Manukau - Tasman	35:50 ✺
08.08.26	Hawkes Bay - Tasman	50:19 ✺
31.07.26	Tasman - North Harbour	31:29 ✺
10.10.25	Bay of Plenty - Tasman	27:7 ✺
04.10.25	Tasman - Counties Manukau	41:49 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLWLL
- Southland
New Zealand NPC
15.08.26	Southland - Waikato	32:31 ✺
09.08.26	Manawatu - Southland	36:35 ✺
01.08.26	Southland - Otago	14:41 ✺
03.10.25	North Harbour - Southland	15:14 ✺
26.09.25	Southland - Tasman	38:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
26.09.25	Southland - Tasman	38:55
07.08.22	Tasman - Southland	27:20
02.10.21	Tasman - Southland	51:14
24.10.20	Tasman - Southland	47:10
25.08.18	Tasman - Southland	45:24
23.09.17	Tasman - Southland	50:17
15.10.16	Tasman - Southland	56:0

Tasman - Southland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide