Match Info

League One - Round 3

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Edogawa Stadium (Tokyo)


	Kubota Spears		Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath

	1	X	2
	1.29	23	3.65
	1.33	22.75	3.61
	1.3	21	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.4)	22.25 ↑ (21)	3.59 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kubota Spears
70.3%

Draw
4.1%

Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

4.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kubota Spears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kubota Spears's performance.

Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Kubota Spears - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:26

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (39 - 6)
2nd Half (40 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kubota won 3.

In this match, Kubota is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kubota won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 348:363. (average 26.8:27.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kubota won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 156:173. (average 26:28.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kubota Spears
Japan League One Rugby Union
20.12.25	Kubota Spears - Ricoh Black Rams	50:28 ✺
13.12.25	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Kubota Spears	28:33 ✺
01.06.25	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Kubota Spears	18:13 ✺
25.05.25	Panasonic Wild Knights - Kubota Spears	24:28 ✺
18.05.25	Kubota Spears - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	20:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWW
- Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath
Japan League One Rugby Union
20.12.25	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Toyota Verblitz	43:25 ✺
12.12.25	Ricoh Black Rams - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	15:29 ✺
18.05.25	Kubota Spears - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	20:15 ✺
10.05.25	Panasonic Wild Knights - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	60:17 ✺
03.05.25	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Ricoh Black Rams	43:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
18.05.25	Kubota Spears - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	20:15
13.04.25	Kubota Spears - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	30:10
12.01.25	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Kubota Spears	26:26
04.05.24	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Kubota Spears	26:45
10.12.23	Kubota Spears - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	26:52
13.05.23	Kubota Spears - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	24:18
22.04.23	Kubota Spears - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	39:24

Kubota Spears - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide