Match Info
League One - Round 13Date: 28 March 2025, FridayLocation: Chichibunomiya Rugby Stadium (Tokyo)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Japan | J sports 2 |
 Malaysia | Astro Grandstand |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
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Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath |
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Shizuoka Blue Revs |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.5 |
21 |
2.6 |
|
 |
1.46 |
22 |
2.95 |
|
 |
1.57 |
23 |
2.4 |
|
 |
1.46 |
22 |
2.95 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.51) |
22 ↓
(23) |
2.73 ↑
(2.65) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 59.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath
61.8% | Draw
4.2% | Shizuoka Blue Revs
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Shizuoka Blue Revs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shizuoka Blue Revs than the current prediction. (-0.8%)Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Shizuoka Blue Revs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:27 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Kobayashi K.
| 1. Kawata K.
|
2. Horikoshi K. (C)
| 2. Hino T.
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3. Nakano K.
| 3.  Bunkei K.
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4.  Jeffries S.
| 4. Odo Y.
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5.  Hockings H.
| 5.  Douglas M.
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6. Hashimoto R.
| 6.  Sangster J.
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7. Shimokawa K.
| 7.  Smith K. (C)
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8. McMahon S.
| 8.  Tupou V.
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9. Nagare Y.
| 9. Kitamura S.
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10. Takamoto M.
| 10. Iemura K.
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11. Kolbe C.
| 11. Tuitama M.
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12. Nakano S.
| 12.  Tahitua V.
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13. Punivai I.
| 13. Okazaki S.
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14. Ozaki S.
| 14. Te Whare-Crosby V.
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15. Matsushima K.
| 15. Greene S.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Miyazaki T.
| 16. Sakuta S.
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17. Morikawa Y.
| 17. Mohara T.
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18. Hosoki K.
| 18. Vete S.
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19. Hosea T.
| 19. Wright J.
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20. Yamamoto K.
| 20. Takuma S.
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21. Lavemai S.
| 21. Tongatama R.
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22. Fukuda K.
| 22. Nohamba S.
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23. Nakamura R.
| 23. Yatomi H.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (10 - 7)
- 20', Sangster J. (Try),
- 20', Greene S. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Takamoto M. (Penalty Goal),
- 36', Kolbe C. (Try),
- 37', Takamoto M. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (12 - 10)
- 46', Hino T. (Try),
- 46', Greene S. (Conversion Goal),
- 50', Kobayashi K. (Try),
- 51', Takamoto M. (Conversion Goal),
- 65', Hashimoto R. (Try),
- 74', Greene S. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Suntory Sungoliath won 4. Suntory Sungoliath is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Shizuoka Blue Revs is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Suntory Sungoliath will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Suntory Sungoliath won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 202:139 (average 28.9:19.9). Including matches at home between the teams Suntory Sungoliath won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 115:83 (average 38.3:27.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Japan League One Rugby Union | | | 01.02.25 | Shizuoka Blue Revs - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath | 14:33 | | 19.04.24 | Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Shizuoka Blue Revs | 31:31 | | 13.01.24 | Shizuoka Blue Revs - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath | 25:29 | | 25.02.23 | Shizuoka Blue Revs - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath | 17:25 | | 17.04.22 | Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Shizuoka Blue Revs | 56:27 | | 23.01.22 | Shizuoka Blue Revs - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath | Suntory Sungoliath awarded | | 08.12.18 | Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Shizuoka Blue Revs | 28:25 OT |
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