Match Info

Date: 22 January 2022, Saturday


	Ulster		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.33	23	3.5
	1.33	21	3.3
	1.32	26	3.4
	1.32	23	3.35
	1.33	21	3.4
	1.32	26	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.39)	23.33 ↑ (22)	3.45 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulster
69.4%

Draw
3.9%

Clermont
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

4.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

4.2%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulster than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ulster - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: Ulster will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:20

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Ulster have a series of guest games.

Recently Clermont have a series of home games.

In this match Ulster is a favorite.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ulster won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 118-135.

Including matches at home between the teams Ulster won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 57-45.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulster Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
16.01.22	Northampton Saints - Ulster	20:24 ✺
United Rugby Championship
08.01.22	Munster - Ulster	18:13 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.12.21	Ulster - Northampton Saints	27:22 ✺
11.12.21	Clermont - Ulster	23:29 ✺
United Rugby Championship
04.12.21	Ospreys - Ulster	19:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWL
- ASM Clermont Auvergne
European Rugby Champions Cup
16.01.22	Clermont - Sale Sharks	25:19 ✺
French Top 14
08.01.22	Racing Métro - Clermont	33:28 ✺
01.01.22	Clermont - Toulouse	16:13 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
11.12.21	Clermont - Ulster	23:29 ✺
French Top 14
04.12.21	Clermont - Biarritz	39:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
11.12.21	Clermont - Ulster	23:29
11.01.20	Clermont - Ulster	29:13
22.11.19	Ulster - Clermont	18:13
18.12.16	Clermont - Ulster	38:19
10.12.16	Ulster - Clermont	39:32

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