Match Info

FRANCE: Top 14 - Round 15

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Rabine (Vannes)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 3


	Vannes		Stade Français

	1	X	2
	1.8	19	2.1
	1.8	23	2
	1.78	20	2.12
	1.8	21.4	2.14	Watch
	1.73	23	2.1
	1.73	15	2.1
	1.78	20	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.85)	20.2 ↑ (18.44)	2.1 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vannes
51.7%

Draw
4.5%

Stade Français
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

5.3%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vannes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Stade Français has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vannes than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Français than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Vannes - Stade Français Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:23

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vunipola M.	1. Alo-Emile M.
2. Beziat T.	2. Nicotera G.
3. Medrano S.	3. Alo-Emile P.
4. Edwards J.	4. Gabrillagues P.
5. Metz F.	5. Mescht JJ
6. Augry S.	6. Halaifonua T.
7. Gorrissen F.	7. Chapuis R.
8. Kalamafoni S.	8. Macalou S.
9. Ruru M.	9. Weber B.
10. Lafage M.	10. Henry Z.
11. Nakosi F.	11. Etien L.
12. Saili F.	12. Delbouis J.
13. Taccola R.	13. Ward J. C.
14. Rayasi S.	14. Dakuwaqa P.
15. Surano P.	15. Barre L.
Substitutes
16. Blanchard C.	16. Peyresblanques L.
17. Berguet C.	17. Koffi I.
18. Mezou T.	18. Pesenti B.
19. Parete J.	19. Briatte R.
20. Le Bail J.	20. Huguet P.
21. Debaes T.	21. Foursans-Bourdette L.
22. Arrate A.	22. Ezeala S.
23. Bourgeois S.	23. Melikidze G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (23 - 13)
2', Henry Z. (Penalty Goal),
5', Saili F. 🟥,
15', Lafage M. (Penalty Goal),
17', Henry Z. (Penalty Goal),
25', Lafage M. (Penalty Goal),
28', Ruru M. (Try),
29', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),
32', Macalou S. (Try),
33', Henry Z. (Conversion Goal),
36', Lafage M. (Penalty Goal),
40', Beziat T. (Try),
40+1', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 15)
44', Nicotera G. (Try),
54', Gorrissen F. (Try),
55', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),
58', Peyresblanques L. (Try),
59', Henry Z. (Conversion Goal),
67', Lafage M. (Penalty Goal),
74', Henry Z. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro D2 and 13 in the zone Top 14 (Relegation)).

Vannes has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Stade Français is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vannes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 31:34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Vannes
Challenge Cup Rugby
18.01.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Vannes	38:28 ✺
11.01.25	Vannes - Edinburgh	25:29 ✺
French Top 14
05.01.25	Vannes - Clermont	19:20 ✺
28.12.24	Section Paloise - Vannes	48:24 ✺
21.12.24	Vannes - Aviron Bayonnais	21:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Stade Français
European Rugby Champions Cup
18.01.25	Blue Bulls - Stade Français	48:7 ✺
11.01.25	Stade Français - Northampton Saints	45:35 ✺
French Top 14
04.01.25	Stade Français - Bordeaux Bègles	19:46 ✺
29.12.24	Toulouse - Stade Français	38:23 ✺
21.12.24	Stade Français - Perpignan	24:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
14.09.24	Stade Français - Vannes	34:31

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