Match Info

EUROPE: Challenge Cup - Round 4

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Parc y Scarlets (Llanelli)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports MAX 4


	Llanelli Scarlets		Vannes

	1	X	2
	1.17	34	5
	1.14	26	5.5
	1.2	21	4.95
	1.11	32.64	7.07	Watch
	1.14	29	5.5
	1.1	26	7.5
	1.2	21	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.18)	27.09 ↓ (28.72)	5.78 ↑ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanelli Scarlets
80.5%

Draw
3.4%

Vannes
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.9%

3.2%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanelli Scarlets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Vannes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Llanelli Scarlets - Vannes Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Scarlets will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:19

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hepburn A.	1. Berguet C.
2. van der Merwe M.	2. Blanchard C.
3. Thomas H.	3. Tafili P.
4. Douglas M.	4. Uhila M.
5. Lousi S.	5. Metz F.
6. Fifita V.	6. Boulier L.
7. Macleod J. (C)	7. Gorrissen F. (C)
8. Plumtree T.	8. Chateau K.
9. Davies G.	9. Varney S.
10. Lloyd I.	10. Cotarmanac'h J.
11. Murray B.	11. Camou R.
12. James E.	12. Vili T.
13. Page M.	13. Ayarza I.
14. Mee E.	14. Rayasi S.
15. Rogers T.	15. Surano P.
Substitutes
16. Evans S.	16. Leafa P.
17. O'Connor S.	17. Moukoro T.
18. Hawley G.	18. Medrano S.
19. Craig A.	19. Parete J.
20. Taylor J.	20. Kalamafoni S.
21. Jones E.	21. Lafage M.
22. Titcombe C.	22. Ruru M.
23. Nicholas I.	23. Edwards J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (31 - 0)
7', Macleod J. (Try),
8', Lloyd I. (Conversion Goal),
21', Macleod J. (Try),
22', Lloyd I. (Conversion Goal),
27', Murray B. (Try),
32', Rayasi S. 🟨,
33', Davies G. (Try),
34', Lloyd I. (Conversion Goal),
38', Rogers T. (Try),
2nd Half (7 - 28)
49', Camou R. (Try),
50', Cotarmanac'h J. (Conversion Goal),
54', van der Merwe M. (Try),
55', Lloyd I. (Conversion Goal),
65', Uhila M. (Try),
65', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),
77', Surano P. (Try),
77', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),
80+2', Boulier L. (Try),
80+2', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Recent matches Scarlets is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vannes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Scarlets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Vannes have a series of home games.

In this match Scarlets is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanelli Scarlets
Challenge Cup Rugby
10.01.25	Gloucester - Llanelli Scarlets	31:7 ✺
United Rugby Championship
01.01.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Newport Gwent Dragons	32:15 ✺
21.12.24	Ospreys - Llanelli Scarlets	23:22 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
15.12.24	Llanelli Scarlets - Black Lion	36:18 ✺
07.12.24	Aviron Bayonnais - Llanelli Scarlets	17:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLWL
- RC Vannes
Challenge Cup Rugby
11.01.25	Vannes - Edinburgh	25:29 ✺
French Top 14
05.01.25	Vannes - Clermont	19:20 ✺
28.12.24	Section Paloise - Vannes	48:24 ✺
21.12.24	Vannes - Aviron Bayonnais	21:27 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
14.12.24	Vannes - Gloucester	43:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

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