Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: Bunnings NPC - Round 6

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Waikato Stadium (Hamilton) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	17:05	Stan Sport
New Zealand	19:05	Sky Sport 1
South Africa	09:05	SuperSport Rugby


	Waikato		Hawkes Bay

	1	X	2
	1.67	19	2.2
	1.63	22	2.36
	1.64	23.42	2.4	Watch
	1.8	19	2
	1.64	19	2.4
	1.63	22	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.02)	20.74 ↓ (22.25)	2.29 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waikato
55.2%

Draw
4.4%

Hawkes Bay
40.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.5%

4.1%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

3.8%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waikato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Waikato's performance.

Hawkes Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawkes Bay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waikato than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Waikato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawkes Bay than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawkes Bay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Waikato - Hawkes Bay Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Hawkes Bay will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:22

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Norris O.	1. Rakete-Stones P.
2. Boyle-Tiatia M.	2. Kereru-Symes K.
3. Dyer G.	3. Apikotoa S. L.
4. Balme J.	4. Cridge G.
5. McWhannell L.	5. Parsons T.
6. Finau S.	6. Lochore F.
7. Jacobson L. B.	7. Flanders C.
8. Wrampling-Alec M.	8. Renton H.
9. Roe X.	9. Enari E.
10. Leuila D.	10. McClutchie L.
11. Tuivailala A.	11. Fomai N.
12. Wrampling G.	12. Toala D.
13. Sullivan B.	13. Grigg N.
14. Tupaea Q.	14. O'Donnell B.
15. Cook-Savage T. P.	15. Protheroe M.
Substitutes
16. Ralph S.	16. Devery J.
17. Johnstone A.	17. Farrell T.
18. Tukuafu S.	18. Hintz J.
19. Saifoloi X.	19. Morrison H.
20. McCurran P.	20. Smith S.
21. Ngatai Q.	21. Fakatava F.
22. Anderson A.	22. Ripley L.
23. Naufahu J.	23. Malan L. R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (36 - 5)
7', Cook-Savage T. P. (Try),
8', Leuila D. (Conversion Goal),
11', Leuila D. (Try),
11', Leuila D. (Conversion Goal),
14', Leuila D. (Try),
14', Leuila D. (Conversion Goal),
20', Toala D. (Try),
24', Leuila D. (Penalty Goal),
31', Wrampling-Alec M. (Try),
37', Leuila D. (Try),
38', Leuila D. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 0)
45', Leuila D. (Try),
46', Leuila D. (Conversion Goal),
59', Wrampling G. (Try),
62', Leuila D. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Waikato won 1.

Recent matches Waikato is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hawkes Bay is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hawkes Bay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Waikato will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Waikato to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Waikato won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 254-212.

Including matches at home between the teams Waikato won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 172-106.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waikato
New Zealand NPC
07.09.24	Taranaki - Waikato	25:19 ✺
04.09.24	Waikato - Northland	32:19 ✺
31.08.24	Waikato - Auckland	39:21 ✺
25.08.24	North Harbour - Waikato	43:29 ✺
18.08.24	Counties Manukau - Waikato	20:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWLW
- Hawkes Bay
New Zealand NPC
07.09.24	Hawkes Bay - Tasman	24:25 ✺
01.09.24	Manawatu - Hawkes Bay	26:38 ✺
28.08.24	Canterbury - Hawkes Bay	21:27 ✺
23.08.24	Hawkes Bay - Northland	55:30 ✺
17.08.24	Hawkes Bay - Southland	31:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
16.08.23	Hawkes Bay - Waikato	35:32
06.08.22	Waikato - Hawkes Bay	32:32
23.10.21	Hawkes Bay - Waikato	41:14
12.09.19	Waikato - Hawkes Bay	24:27
13.09.18	Waikato - Hawkes Bay	42:22
08.10.16	Waikato - Hawkes Bay	46:22
09.10.15	Hawkes Bay - Waikato	30:36

Waikato - Hawkes Bay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide