Match Info
Super Rugby - Round 4Date: 6 March 2026, FridayLocation: Sydney Football Stadium (Sydney)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
Australia | Stan Sport |
France | CANAL+ Sport |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
United-kingdom | Sky Go, Sky Sports+ |
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 |
|
 |
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Waratahs |
|
Hurricanes |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.3 |
21 |
1.67 |
|
 |
2.28 |
25 |
1.64 |
|
 |
2.27 |
20.11 |
1.71 |
|
 |
2.25 |
21 |
1.67 |
|
 |
2.3 |
21 |
1.67 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.28 ↑ (2.1) |
21.62 ↑ (18) |
1.67 ↓ (1.8) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Waratahs 40.5% | Draw 4.3% | Hurricanes 55.2% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Waratahs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Waratahs - Hurricanes Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Hurricanes will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hurricanes (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 58.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Waratahs (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Waratahs (votes: 1 - 50%). Hurricanes (votes: 1 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:29 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Lambert T.
| 1. Numia X.
|
2. Faingaa F.
| 2. Aumua A.
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3. Botha D.
| 3. Tosi P.
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4. Philip M.
| 4. Dearns W.
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5. Amatosero M.
| 5. Walker-Leawere I.
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6. Talataina L.
| 6. Flanders D.
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7. Gamble C.
| 7. Kirifi D.
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8. Samu P.
| 8. Lakai P.
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9. Gordon J.
| 9. Roigard C.
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10. Creighton L.
| 10. Harkin C.
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11. Jorgensen M.
| 11. Fineanganofo F.
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12. Walton J.
| 12. Barrett J.
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13. Sua'ali'i J.
| 13. Proctor B.
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14. Reilly T.
| 14. Sullivan B.
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15. Kellaway A.
| 15. Moorby J.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Moananu I.
| 16. Devery J.
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17. Kailea I.
| 17. Lauaki S.
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18. Amone S.
| 18. Mafile'o T.
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19. Blyth A.
| 19. Shields B.
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20. Halaholo C.
| 20. Iose B.
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21. Wilson T.
| 21. Enari E.
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22. Debreczeni J.
| 22. Cashmore L.
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23. Harvey S.
| 23. Rova J.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. McKellar D.
| . Laidlaw C.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (12 - 17)
- 13', Reilly T. (Try),
- 14', Creighton L. (Conversion Goal),
- 15', Aumua A. (Try),
- 16', Barrett J. (Missed Conversion),
- 19', Lakai P. (Try),
- 20', Barrett J. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Jorgensen M. (Try),
- 31', Creighton L. (Missed Conversion),
- 33', Sullivan B. (Try),
- 34', Barrett J. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (7 - 42)
- 43', Proctor B. (Try),
- 44', Barrett J. (Conversion Goal),
- 44', Lambert T. ↓, Kailea I. ↑,
- 44', Talataina L. ↓, Halaholo C. ↑,
- 44', Faingaa F. ↓, Moananu I. ↑,
- 44', Amatosero M. ↓, Blyth A. ↑,
- 47', Proctor B. (Try),
- 48', Barrett J. (Conversion Goal),
- 50', Tosi P. ↓, Mafile'o T. ↑,
- 53', Creighton L. ↓, Debreczeni J. ↑,
- 54', Kirifi D. ↓, Iose B. ↑,
- 55', Blyth A. 🟨,
- 55', Gordon J. ↓, Wilson T. ↑,
- 55', Dearns W. ↓, Shields B. ↑,
- 55', Aumua A. ↓, Devery J. ↑,
- 55', Numia X. ↓, Lauaki S. ↑,
- 59', Sullivan B. (Try),
- 60', Barrett J. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Kellaway A. ↓, Harvey S. ↑,
- 60', Barrett J. ↓, Rova J. ↑,
- 60', Roigard C. ↓, Enari E. ↑,
- 62', Jorgensen M. (Try),
- 63', Harvey S. (Conversion Goal),
- 64', Enari E. (Try),
- 65', Harkin C. (Conversion Goal),
- 66', Botha D. ↓, Amone S. ↑,
- 68', Poolman G. 🟨,
- 69', Harkin C. ↓, Cashmore L. ↑,
- 78', Rova J. (Try),
- 79', Cashmore L. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Proctor B. (Try),
- 80+1', Cashmore L. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waratahs won 0.Hurricanes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Hurricanes might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Waratahs won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 280:432. (average 23.3:36).Including home matches between the teams, Waratahs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 153:197. (average 25.5:32.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Super Rugby | | | 28.03.25 | Hurricanes - Waratahs | 57:12 | | 03.05.24 | Hurricanes - Waratahs | 41:12 | | 17.03.23 | Hurricanes - Waratahs | 34:17 | | 14.05.22 | Waratahs - Hurricanes | 18:22 | | 14.05.21 | Waratahs - Hurricanes | 48:64 | | 16.02.19 | Waratahs - Hurricanes | 19:20 | | 07.04.17 | Hurricanes - Waratahs | 38:28 |
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