The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brumbies 52.9%
Draw 3.9%
Hurricanes 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.3%
4.8%
44.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
5%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brumbies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Hurricanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brumbies than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hurricanes than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Brumbies - Hurricanes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:26
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Slipper J.
1. Numia X.
2. Pollard B.
2. Devery J.
3. Alaalatoa A. (C)
3. Lomax T.
4. Frost N.
4. Gallagher Z.
5. Hooper T.
5. Delany C.
6. Valetini R.
6. Flanders D.
7. Scott R.
7. Kirifi D.
8. Tualima T.
8. Lakai P.
9. Lonergan R.
9. Roigard C.
10. Lolesio N.
10. Cameron B.
11. Toole C.
11. Fineanganofo F.
12. Feliuai D.
12. Umaga-Jensen P.
13. Ikitau L.
13. Proctor B. (C)
14. Muirhead A.
14. Sullivan B.
15. Wright T.
15. Love R.
Substitutes
16. Lonergan L.
16. Tuputupu R.
17. Ieli L.
17. Mafile'o T.
18. Fotuaika F.
18. Tosi P.
19. Shaw L.
19. Plummer H.
20. Reimer L.
20. Shields B.
21. Goddard H.
21. Enari E.
22. Meredith D.
22. Punivai N.
23. Sapsford O.
23. Harkin C.
Coaches
. Larkham S.
. Laidlaw C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (21 - 14)
6', Love R. (Try),
7', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
10', Pollard B. (Try),
10', Lolesio N. (Conversion Goal),
17', Fineanganofo F. (Try),
18', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
22', Alaalatoa A. (Try),
23', Lolesio N. (Conversion Goal),
40', Pollard B. (Try),
40+1', Lolesio N. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 14)
46', Wright T. (Try),
47', Lolesio N. (Conversion Goal),
52', Delany C. ↓, Plummer H. ↑,
52', Devery J. ↓, Tuputupu R. ↑,
52', Lakai P. ↓, Shields B. ↑,
52', Alaalatoa A. ↓, Fotuaika F. ↑,
52', Scott R. ↓, Reimer L. ↑,
52', Pollard B. ↓, Lonergan L. ↑,
55', Sullivan B. (Try),
55', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
59', Numia X. ↓, Mafile'o T. ↑,
59', Lomax T. ↓, Tosi P. ↑,
61', Slipper J. (Try),
62', Lolesio N. (Conversion Goal),
64', Feliuai D. ↓, Sapsford O. ↑,
64', Slipper J. ↓, Ieli L. ↑,
64', Sullivan B. ↓, Punivai N. ↑,
64', Cameron B. ↓, Harkin C. ↑,
67', Tualima T. ↓, Shaw L. ↑,
68', Tosi P. (Try),
68', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
72', Lonergan R. ↓, Goddard H. ↑,
76', Umaga-Jensen P. ↓, Sullivan B. ↑,
77', Tuputupu R. ↓, Devery J. ↑,
79', Roigard C. ↓, Enari E. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brumbies won 3.
Brumbies has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Hurricanes is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Hurricanes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Brumbies has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
We predict that Brumbies will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Brumbies won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 440:433. (average 27.5:27.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Brumbies won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 304:227. (average 30.4:22.7).
France
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Slipper J. 
Numia X. 
Feliuai D. 
Shields B. 
Laidlaw C. 
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