The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reds 49.4%
Draw 4.2%
Hurricanes 46.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.8%
4.7%
46.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
4.8%
46%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Hurricanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reds than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hurricanes than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Reds - Hurricanes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Faagase S.
1. Numia X.
2. Asiata R.
2. Aumua A.
3. Nonggorr Z.
3. Lomax T.
4. Canham J.
4. Gallagher Z.
5. Smith R.
5. Walker-Leawere I.
6. Brial J.
6. Shields B.
7. Mcreight F.
7. Kirifi D.
8. Wilson H.
8. Lakai P.
9. McDermott T.
9. Roigard C.
10. Lynagh T.
10. Love R.
11. Daugunu F.
11. Fineanganofo F.
12. Paisami O.
12. Umaga-Jensen P.
13. Pakeho D.
13. Proctor B.
14. Anderson L.
14. Sinkinson D.
15. Campbell J.
15. Harkin C.
Substitutes
16. Nasser J.
16. Tuputupu R.
17. Toomaga-Allen J.
17. Mafile'o T.
18. King T.
18. Tosi P.
19. Blyth A.
19. Plummer H.
20. Bryant J.
20. Flanders D.
21. Thomas K.
21. Enari E.
22. McLaughlin-Phillips H.
22. Cameron B.
23. Ryan T.
23. Sullivan B.
Coaches
. Kiss L.
. Laidlaw C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (13 - 26)
1', Love R. (Try),
2', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
3', McDermott T. (Try),
4', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
9', Lynagh T. (Penalty Goal),
25', Walker-Leawere I. ↓, Plummer H. ↑,
28', Fineanganofo F. (Try),
29', Love R. (Missed Conversion),
32', Lynagh T. (Penalty Goal),
35', Roigard C. (Try),
36', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
38', Campbell J. ↓, McLaughlin-Phillips H. ↑,
38', Proctor B. (Try),
39', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 5)
41', McDermott T. (Try),
41', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
49', Faagase S. ↓, Toomaga-Allen J. ↑,
56', Brial J. (Try),
56', Numia X. ↓, Mafile'o T. ↑,
56', Lynagh T. (Conversion Goal),
56', Aumua A. ↓, Tuputupu R. ↑,
57', Lomax T. ↓, Tosi P. ↑,
57', Sinkinson D. ↓, Sullivan B. ↑,
59', Shields B. ↓, Flanders D. ↑,
61', Smith R. ↓, Blyth A. ↑,
61', Asiata R. ↓, Nasser J. ↑,
61', Harkin C. ↓, Cameron B. ↑,
63', McDermott T. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
66', Fineanganofo F. (Try),
66', Love R. (Missed Conversion),
69', Lynagh T. ↓, McLaughlin-Phillips H. ↑,
74', Campbell J. ↓, Ryan T. ↑,
76', Brial J. ↓, Bryant J. ↑,
76', Roigard C. ↓, Enari E. ↑,
79', Nonggorr Z. ↓, Bloomfield N. ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reds won 0.
Reds has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Hurricanes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Reds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Reds won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 198:341. (average 19.8:34.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Reds won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 65:128. (average 16.3:32).
Africa
Argentina
Asia
Australia
Brazil
Canada
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
New-zealand
Nigeria
Peru
South-africa
United-kingdom
Uruguay
Venezuela
Watch
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Faagase S. 
Numia X. 
Shields B. 
Toomaga-Allen J. 
Laidlaw C. 
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