Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry)

Referee: Leal A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	Sportsnet
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Wasps RFC		Northampton Saints

	1	X	2
	1.83	21	2
	1.73	21	2.1
	1.77	25	2.1
	1.81	23	2.07
	1.73	19	2.15
	1.84	27	2.03	Watch
	1.79	23	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.82)	22.71 ↑ (21.75)	2.07 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wasps RFC
51.5%

Draw
4.1%

Northampton Saints
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

4.2%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

4.2%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wasps RFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Northampton Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wasps RFC than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Saints than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Wasps RFC - Northampton Saints Predictions

Users Predictions: Wasps RFC will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wasps won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Northampton Saints could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Wasps will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Wasps to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Wasps won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 541-605.

Including matches at home between the teams Wasps won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 270-232.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wasps RFC
English Premiership Rugby Cup
27.09.22	Leicester Tigers - Wasps RFC	38:17 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
23.09.22	Bath - Wasps RFC	31:39 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
20.09.22	Wasps RFC - Newcastle Red Bulls	35:21 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
17.09.22	Wasps RFC - Bristol Rugby	8:23 ✺
11.09.22	Gloucester - Wasps RFC	27:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWLL
- Northampton Saints
English Premiership Rugby Cup
05.10.22	Northampton Saints - Saracens	58:34 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
02.10.22	Harlequins - Northampton Saints	35:29 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
27.09.22	London Irish - Northampton Saints	28:26 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
24.09.22	Northampton Saints - Leicester Tigers	21:41 ✺
17.09.22	Northampton Saints - London Irish	38:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 53.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
13.03.22	Northampton Saints - Wasps RFC	27:22
10.10.21	Wasps RFC - Northampton Saints	26:20
29.05.21	Northampton Saints - Wasps RFC	30:25
06.02.21	Wasps RFC - Northampton Saints	17:22
16.08.20	Northampton Saints - Wasps RFC	21:34
05.01.20	Wasps RFC - Northampton Saints	31:35
English Premiership Rugby Cup
28.09.19	Northampton Saints - Wasps RFC	32:36

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