Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: Bunnings NPC - Round 3

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sky Stadium (Wellington) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	12:35	Stan Sport
New Zealand	14:35	Sky Sport 1


	Wellington		Manawatu

	1	X	2
	1.01	34	17
	1.02	45	12
	1.01	62.9	15.8
	1.01	67	21
	1.01	50	28	Watch
	1.02	45	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↑ (1.01)	50.65 ↓ (53.78)	17.63 ↑ (15.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-31)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington
92.8%

Draw
1.9%

Manawatu
5.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

92.3%

1.7%

5.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Manawatu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wellington - Manawatu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 48:17

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Numia X.	1. Gavigan J.
2. Poasa P.	2. Tuputupu R.
3. Sheck P.	3. Yates F.
4. Plummer H.	4. Momsen J.
5. Delany C.	5. Shaw L.
6. Ropeti D.	6. Howden T.
7. Kirifi D.	7. McDowall S.
8. Lakai P.	8. Laubscher T.
9. Preston K.	9. Viljoen J.
10. Garden-Bachop J.	10. MacDonald R.
11. Clarke T.	11. Va'a P.
12. Savea J.	12. Tofa J.
13. Higgins R.	13. Brown K.
14. Patafilo P.	14. Filimone T.
15. Harkin C.	15. Wild D.
Substitutes
16. Apisai L.	16. Bason V.
17. Kato K.	17. Blake G.
18. Lauaki S.	18. Epenisa M.
19. Paulo F.	19. van den Hoven S.
20. Shields B.	20. Goerke J.
21. Muriwai N.	21. Campbell L.
22. Umaga-Jensen P.	22. O´Connor L.
23. Solomon S.	23. Emery J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 17)
16', Lakai P. (Try),
16', Garden-Bachop J. (Conversion Goal),
21', Patafilo P. (Try),
22', Garden-Bachop J. (Conversion Goal),
24', Tofa J. (Try),
25', MacDonald R. (Conversion Goal),
32', Tuputupu R. (Try),
33', O'Connor L. (Missed Conversion),
36', O'Connor L. (Try),
37', O'Connor L. (Missed Conversion),
40', Garden-Bachop J. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (22 - 14)
41', Filimone T. (Try),
41', MacDonald R. (Conversion Goal),
43', Higgins R. (Try),
44', Garden-Bachop J. (Conversion Goal),
52', Brown K. (Try),
53', MacDonald R. (Conversion Goal),
73', Clarke T. (Try),
74', Garden-Bachop J. (Conversion Goal),
75', Garden-Bachop J. (Conversion Goal),
80+1', Garden-Bachop J. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wellington won 5.

Wellington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Wellington is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Wellington won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 303-194.

Including matches at home between the teams Wellington won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 127-86.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Rugby
New Zealand NPC
17.08.24	Wellington - Taranaki	26:19 ✺
09.08.24	Auckland - Wellington	21:29 ✺
14.10.23	Wellington - Hawkes Bay	24:25 ✺
06.10.23	Wellington - Waikato	32:28 ✺
29.09.23	Wellington - Hawkes Bay	18:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL
- Manawatu
New Zealand NPC
16.08.24	Northland - Manawatu	35:18 ✺
11.08.24	Manawatu - Tasman	21:54 ✺
30.09.23	Manawatu - Southland	12:37 ✺
22.09.23	Counties Manukau - Manawatu	46:19 ✺
15.09.23	Hawkes Bay - Manawatu	57:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
05.08.23	Manawatu - Wellington	6:22
16.10.21	Manawatu - Wellington	16:36
13.11.20	Wellington - Manawatu	31:5
23.09.18	Manawatu - Wellington	7:49
20.08.17	Manawatu - Wellington	29:41
05.10.16	Manawatu - Wellington	50:28
10.10.15	Wellington - Manawatu	33:39

Wellington - Manawatu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide