Match Info

Championship League

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Mattioli Arena (Leicester)


	Mark Selby		Guodong Xiao

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.49	2.40	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.52	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.49)	2.43 ↑ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Selby
61.3%

Guodong Xiao
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Selby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Guodong Xiao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Selby than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guodong Xiao than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Mark Selby - Guodong Xiao Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Selby (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Selby is ranked World Ranking: 6. Xiao is ranked World Ranking: 11.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Selby won 4.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Selby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Selby could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Selby won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 54:36. (average 4.2:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Mark Selby - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 61.7%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Selby
Snooker
11.01.26	Mark Selby - Guodong Xiao	2:6 ✺
19.12.25	Chang Bingyu - Mark Selby	5:3 ✺
18.12.25	Mark Selby - Noppon Saengkham	4:0 ✺
17.12.25	Hossein Vafaei Ayouri - Mark Selby	0:4 ✺
16.12.25	Mark Selby - Robbie McGuigan	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWW
- Guodong Xiao
Snooker
16.01.26	Wu Yize - Guodong Xiao	6:0 ✺
11.01.26	Mark Selby - Guodong Xiao	2:6 ✺
09.01.26	Guodong Xiao - Gary Wilson	3:0 ✺
09.01.26	Kyren Wilson - Guodong Xiao	3:1 ✺
09.01.26	Neil Robertson - Guodong Xiao	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Snooker
11.01.26	Mark Selby - Guodong Xiao	2:6
05.02.25	Mark Selby - Guodong Xiao	3:2
06.02.24	Mark Selby - Guodong Xiao	3:2
07.11.23	Mark Selby - Guodong Xiao	6:2
30.09.23	Guodong Xiao - Mark Selby	0:6
05.01.22	Mark Selby - Guodong Xiao	3:2
04.01.22	Mark Selby - Guodong Xiao	3:0

Mark Selby - Guodong Xiao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide