Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 13

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Água Santa		Grêmio Prudente

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.25
	2.05	3.05	3.35	Watch
	2.06	3.05	3.86
	2.06	3.01	3.65	Watch
	2	3	3.4
	2.06	3.28	3.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.2)	3.08 ↓ (3.31)	3.52 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Água Santa
44.3%

Draw
29.7%

Grêmio Prudente
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.6%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

26.7%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Água Santa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Grêmio Prudente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Prudente than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Água Santa - Grêmio Prudente Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Água Santa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Everton Kanela ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Jonatha Carlos ⚽,
18', 1 - 2, Cesinha ⚽,
32', 2 - 2, Alisson ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 3, Rafinha ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 3 - 3, Gustavinho ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 3, Alisson ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A3).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Grêmio Prudente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Água Santa might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
21.02.26	Água Santa - Taubaté	2:3 ✺
18.02.26	Ituano - Água Santa	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	São José-SP - Água Santa	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Água Santa - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Água Santa - CA Juventus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLWW
- Grêmio Prudente
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
22.02.26	Linense - Grêmio Prudente	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Grêmio Prudente - Internacional de Limeira	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Santo André - Grêmio Prudente	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Grêmio Prudente - Atlético Monte Azul	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	São Bento - Grêmio Prudente	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLTT

Água Santa - Grêmio Prudente: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide