Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio El Rubial (Águilas)


	Águilas		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.15
	3.2	3.4	2.2
	3.2	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.07	3.3	2.16
	3.23	3.31	2.21
	3.1	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.42	2.22
	3.2	3.3	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (5.54)	3.34 ↓ (3.55)	2.17 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
29.2%

Draw
27.9%

Castellón
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

25.9%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

26.9%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Águilas's performance.

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águilas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castellón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Águilas - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: Castellón will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Buigues I. (G) 6. Pelon 2. Alonso B. 15. Nwenyi E. 21. Morillas D. 8. Hidalgo A. 5. Tropi 7. Rydstrand J. 14. Garcia N. 23. Delgado J. 22. Isi Ros	13. Abedzadeh A. (G) 7. Moyita S. 14. Gil O. 17. Ruiz S. 33. Vertrouwd J. 46. Suner P. M. 20. Seuntjens M. 19. Villahermosa D. 12. Bosilj D. 11. Aurelio D. 16. Cipenga B.
Substitutes
19. Abenza M. 13. Antequera L. (G) 10. Castedo J. 28. Cuellar E. 17. Hyeon-jun P. 26. Ingles T. 25. Nieto M. 27. Ortiz N. D. 20. Vazquez K.	27. Albert J. 22. Chirino D. 1. Crettaz G. (G) 9. de Miguel J. 5. Jimenez A. 10. Sanchez R. 4. Suero I. 6. van den Belt T. 15. Willems J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Villahermosa D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gil O. ↓, Chirino D. ↑,
64', Delgado J. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
64', Garcia N. ↓, Hyeon-jun P. ↑,
69', Cipenga B. 🟨,
70', Alonso B. 🟨,
71', Tropi ↓, Abenza M. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Suner P. M. ⚽,
74', Cipenga B. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
74', Bosilj D. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
74', Seuntjens M. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
77', Ruiz S. ↓, Albert J. ↑,
80', Rydstrand J. ↓, Ingles T. ↑,
80', Isi Ros ↓, Castedo J. ↑,
85', Morillas D. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Águilas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.10.24	Águilas - Cadiz CF B	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - Águilas	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Águilas - Estepona	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	UCAM Murcia - Águilas	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Águilas - Xerez Deportivo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTTT
- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.24	Zaragoza - Castellón	1:2 ✺
22.10.24	Castellón - Granada	2:3 ✺
19.10.24	Castellón - Levante	2:0 ✺
14.10.24	Sporting de Gijón - Castellón	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Eldense - Castellón	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLWLW

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