The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castellón 61.8%
Draw 22.4%
Granada 15.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.2%
24%
18.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.1%
24.8%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
0%
22.2%
Castellón - Granada Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Granada will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 50.6% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 3. Brignani F. 2. Tincho 18. Santiago P. 15. Gerenabarrena B. 8. Barri 19. Jakobsen A. 21. Calatrava A. 9. Camara O.
13. Astralaga A. (G) 28. Naasei O. 17. Diaby B. 24. Williams L. (C) 22. Diallo B. 21. Saenz P. 41. Gonzalez I. 8. Aleman P. 18. Lemos A. 19. Pascual J. 11. Arnaiz J. M.
Substitutes
1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 12. Alcazar L. 29. De Nipoti T. 6. Doue M. 23. Garcia A. 7. Mabil A. 25. Ronaldo 17. Ruiz S. 14. Sanchez R. 37. Segura C. 10. Suero I. 55. Willman M.
4. Alcaraz R. 10. Bouldini M. 40. Diocou B. 23. Gagnidze L. 3. Hormigo D. 36. Juanjo 9. Petit G. 26. Rodelas S. 20. Ruiz S. 7. Sola A. 14. Trigueros M. 1. Zidane L. (G)
Coaches
Hernandez P.
Rojo Martin J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
30', 1 - 0, Camara O. ⚽, Santiago P. (A),
33', Saenz P. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Pascual J. ⚽, Lemos A. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Barri ⚽, Santiago P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Naasei O. 🟨,
53', 3 - 1, Brignani F. ⚽,
57', Lemos A. ↓, Sola A. ↑,
57', Saenz P. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
59', Santiago P. 🟨,
63', 3 - 2, Pascual J. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Tincho ↓, Alcazar L. ↑,
69', Jakobsen A. ↓, Mabil A. ↑,
70', Pascual J. ↓, Petit G. ↑,
70', Diallo B. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
76', Aleman P. ↓, Trigueros M. ↑,
80', Santiago P. ↓, De Nipoti T. ↑,
86', Calatrava A. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
86', Camara O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
89', Garcia A. 🟨,
90+3', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 14).
Castellón has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Granada is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Castellón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Castellón is the team to beat.
There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Granada: Bouldini M.
(Inactive)
Casadesus P.
(Muscle Injury)
Gagnidze L.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Castellón: Alcazar L.
(Injury)
Sienra A.
(Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.