Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 23

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Ibercaja Stadium (Zaragoza)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Zaragoza		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.96	Watch
	3.45	3.4	2	Watch
	3.72	3.59	2.04
	3.58	3.65	2	Watch
	3.5	3.3	2
	3.68	3.55	2.05	Watch
	3.6	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (3.7)	3.48 ↓ (3.62)	2.01 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
26.2%

Draw
27%

Castellón
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

26.1%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

26.3%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Zaragoza - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Castellón will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zaragoza: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andrada E. (G) 36. Gomes A. 4. Insua P. 33. Saidu Y. 3. Tasende D. 6. Bare K. 14. Francho 10. Guti R. 8. Moya T. 21. Valery 19. Kodro K.	13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 3. Brignani F. 12. Alcazar L. 4. Sienra A. 7. Mabil A. 15. Gerenabarrena B. 8. Barri 16. Cipenga B. 19. Jakobsen A. 21. Calatrava A.
Substitutes
20. Aguirregabiria M. 24. Akouokou P. 12. Bakis S. 23. Cuenca M. A. 9. Gomez D. 22. Gonzalez R. 17. Moyano F. 31. Pinilla H. 15. Pomares C. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 5. Tachi	1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 9. Camara O. 29. De Nipoti T. 6. Doue M. 23. Garcia A. 25. Ronaldo 17. Ruiz S. 14. Sanchez R. 18. Santiago P. 30. Selles D. 10. Suero I. 26. Tincho
Coaches
Selles R.	Hernandez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Tasende D. 🟨,
37', Calatrava A. 🟨,
41', Brignani F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Valery ↓, Cuenca M. A. ↑,
46', Gomes A. ↓, Tachi ↑,
46', Tasende D. ↓, Sebastian J. ↑,
50', Sebastian J. 🟨,
59', Mabil A. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
63', Bare K. 🟨,
73', Kodro K. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
74', Jakobsen A. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
74', Alcazar L. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
74', Cipenga B. ↓, De Nipoti T. ↑,
84', Barri ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
85', Garcia A. 🟨,
90', Cuenca M. A. 🟥,
90+3', Guti R. ↓, Aguirregabiria M. ↑,
90+5', Camara O. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Recent performances by Zaragoza have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Castellón is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zaragoza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Castellón is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Zaragoza: Aguirregabiria M. (Injury) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Radovanovic A. (Knock) Sans P. (Inactive) de la Fuente P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Jimenez A. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Castellon	9	6	2	1	15:4	11	20

Last Results with these Odds

Castellón - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 48.41%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
17.01.26	Zaragoza - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Racing Santander - Zaragoza	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Zaragoza - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Burgos - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Zaragoza - Cádiz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWLTL
- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
16.01.26	Castellón - Leganés	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Granada - Castellón	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Castellón - Huesca	4:1 ✺
21.12.25	Cádiz - Castellón	2:0 ✺
15.12.25	Castellón - Mirandés	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
30.08.25	Castellón - Zaragoza	1:1
30.05.25	Castellón - Zaragoza	4:1
26.10.24	Zaragoza - Castellón	1:2
20.05.21	Zaragoza - Castellón	3:0
02.12.20	Castellón - Zaragoza	1:0

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