Match Info

Super Lig - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Çaykur Didi Stadyumu (Rize)

Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)

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	Çaykur Rizespor		Galatasaray

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.5	1.53	Watch
	5.09	4.42	1.53	Watch
	5.35	4.67	1.59
	5.07	4.55	1.57	Watch
	4.8	4	1.57
	5.19	4.51	1.62	Watch
	5	4.25	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↓ (5.51)	4.41 ↓ (4.61)	1.57 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Çaykur Rizespor
18.7%

Draw
21.3%

Galatasaray
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

20.5%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

20.2%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Çaykur Rizespor - Galatasaray Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Rizespor will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Galatasaray (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Galatasaray will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Rizespor (votes: 2 - 20%). Galatasaray (votes: 8 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Fofana Y. (G) 37. Sahin T. 4. Mocsi A. 3. Akaydin S. 5. Hojer C. (C) 14. Antalyali T. 54. Pala M. 10. Olawoyin I. 20. Laci Q. 7. Mihaila V. 9. Sowe A.	1. Cakir U. (G) 7. Sallai R. 6. Sanchez D. 42. Bardakci A. (C) 4. Jakobs I. 34. Torreira L. 8. Gabriel Sara 53. Yilmaz B. A. 11. Akgun Y. 77. Lang N. 45. Osimhen V.
Substitutes
18. Buljubasic M. 99. Bulut E. 1. Canpolat E. (G) 11. Dervisoglu H. 17. Mebude A. 65. Ortakaya E. 6. Papanikolaou G. 19. Pierrot F. 27. Sagnan M. 77. Zeqiri A.	22. Asprilla Y. 23. Ayhan K. 93. Boey S. 17. Elmali E. 20. Gundogan I. 27. Guner C. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 9. Icardi M. 74. Nhaga R. 90. Singo W.
Coaches
Ucar R.	Buruk O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Olawoyin I. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Yilmaz B. A. ⚽, Lang N. (A),
45+2', Osimhen V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 0 - 2, Akgun Y. ⚽, Yilmaz B. A. (A),
64', Olawoyin I. ↓, Mebude A. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Osimhen V. ⚽,
74', Lang N. ↓, Boey S. ↑,
75', Akgun Y. ↓, Gundogan I. ↑,
75', Sowe A. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
75', Antalyali T. ↓, Papanikolaou G. ↑,
75', Hojer C. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
80', Torreira L. ↓, Icardi M. ↑,
81', Bardakci A. ↓, Singo W. ↑,
84', Laci Q. ↓, Buljubasic M. ↑,
84', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Asprilla Y. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rizespor won 0.

Recent form of Rizespor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Galatasaray is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rizespor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Galatasaray is the team to beat.

There will not play in Rizespor: Alikulov K. (Injury) Orak F. (Suspended)

There will not play in Galatasaray: Baltaci M. (Suspended) Lemina M. (Yellow Cards) Sane L. (Inactive) Unyay A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rizespor: Augusto L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Galatasaray: Kutucu A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rizespor won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 23:48. (average 1.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Rizespor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Galatasaray	7	5	1	1	16:11	5	16
9	Rizespor	7	3	1	3	7:9	-2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Cup
03.02.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
31.01.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Çaykur Rizespor	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
19.01.26	Göztepe - Çaykur Rizespor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
15.01.26	Erzurumspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTTLL
- Galatasaray
Turkish Cup
04.02.26	Galatasaray - İstanbulspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
01.02.26	Galatasaray - Kayserispor	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Manchester City - Galatasaray	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
24.01.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Galatasaray	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Galatasaray - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
30.08.25	Galatasaray - Çaykur Rizespor	3:1
17.02.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Galatasaray	1:2
14.09.24	Galatasaray - Çaykur Rizespor	5:0
08.03.24	Galatasaray - Çaykur Rizespor	6:2
28.10.23	Çaykur Rizespor - Galatasaray	0:1
27.02.22	Galatasaray - Çaykur Rizespor	4:2
03.10.21	Çaykur Rizespor - Galatasaray	2:3

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