Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Etihad Stadium (Manchester)

Referee: Hernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Manchester City		Galatasaray

	1	X	2
	1.22	7.5	10
	1.25	6.75	10
	1.22	7.5	12
	1.23	7.7	11.5
	1.24	7.78	10.3	Watch
	1.22	6.5	10
	1.25	7.7	9.78
	1.2	8	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↑ (1.1)	7.43 ↓ (11.47)	10.57 ↓ (28.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester City
78%

Draw
12.9%

Galatasaray
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

88.1%

8.4%

3.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manchester City's form might have worsened.

Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Galatasaray's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	6.9%	13.8%

Manchester City - Galatasaray Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 46 - 80.7%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 7 - 12.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 70.5% – 90.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 5 - 55.6%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - draw (8.20) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

AH +0.75, 1st Half - Galatasaray (1.98) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Galatasaray (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Man City (1.07) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Man City (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (17 of 22 users predict this - 77.27%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City (votes: 21 - 70%). Galatasaray (votes: 9 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Donnarumma G. (G) 27. Nunes M. 45. Khusanov A. 6. Ake N. 21. Ait Nouri R. 33. O'Reilly N. 10. Cherki R. 20. Silva B. (C) 7. Marmoush O. 11. Doku J. 9. Haaland E.	1. Cakir U. (G) 7. Sallai R. 6. Sanchez D. 42. Bardakci A. 4. Jakobs I. 8. Gabriel Sara 99. Lemina M. 53. Yilmaz B. A. 20. Gundogan I. (C) 10. Sane L. 45. Osimhen V.
Substitutes
68. Alleyne M. 13. Bettinelli M. (G) 47. Foden P. 59. Gray C. 82. Lewis R. 91. Mfuni S. 63. Mukasa D. 14. Nico 4. Reijnders T. 1. Trafford J. (G)	11. Akgun Y. 23. Ayhan K. 17. Elmali E. 19. Guvenc G. (G) 9. Icardi M. 64. Kahraman Y. 67. Karasu E. C. 68. Kocak F. 21. Kutucu A. 12. Sen B. (G) 90. Singo W. 34. Torreira L.
Coaches
Guardiola P.	Buruk O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Haaland E. ⚽, Doku J. (A),
19', Lemina M. 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Cherki R. ⚽, Doku J. (A),
37', Doku J. ↓, Foden P. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Marmoush O. ↓, Reijnders T. ↑,
67', Gundogan I. ↓, Torreira L. ↑,
68', Bardakci A. ↓, Elmali E. ↑,
68', Yilmaz B. A. ↓, Akgun Y. ↑,
80', Sane L. ↓, Ayhan K. ↑,
82', Cherki R. ↓, Nico ↑,
86', Gabriel Sara ↓, Icardi M. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Man City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Man City is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Man City: Bobb O. (Hamstring Injury) Dias R. (Thigh Injury) Guehi M. (Inactive) Gvardiol J. (Broken Leg) Kovacic M. (Heel Injury) Phillips K. (Inactive) Rodri (Red Card) Savinho (Health problems) Semenyo A. (Inactive) Stones J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Galatasaray: Asprilla Y. (Inactive) Baltaci M. (Suspended) Gurpuz G. (Inactive) Karatas K. (Inactive) Lang N. (Inactive) Unyay A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Man City: Nico (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Manchester City: 7.47% Galatasaray: 0.59%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Manchester City	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
30	Galatasaray	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City
English Premier League
24.01.26	Manchester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Bodø Glimt - Manchester City	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
17.01.26	Manchester United - Manchester City	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
13.01.26	Newcastle United - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Manchester City - Exeter City	10:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWW
- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
24.01.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Galatasaray	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Galatasaray - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
17.01.26	Galatasaray - Gaziantep	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
13.01.26	Fethiyespor - Galatasaray	1:2 ✺
Turkish Super Cup
10.01.26	Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTTWL

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