Match Info

Challenge League - Round 31

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de la Fontenette (Carouge)

Referee: Qovanaj H. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3


	Étoile Carouge		Schaffhausen

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.9	5
	1.5	4.2	5.8
	1.5	4.38	6.12
	1.52	4.18	5.99	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.8
	1.46	4.2	6.25	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.59)	4.14 ↑ (3.95)	5.82 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile Carouge
61.7%

Draw
22.4%

Schaffhausen
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23.4%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

22.4%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Schaffhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schaffhausen than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Étoile Carouge - Schaffhausen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Étoile (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Étoile (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Étoile Carouge will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Étoile (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antonio S. (G) 22. Rufli V. 25. Felder V. 13. Zoukit N. 31. Petit V. 27. Ricardo Alves 8. Chappuis A. (C) 10. Caslei B. 14. Hysenaj F. 70. Simbakoli U. 7. Correia O.	47. Rutigliano S. (G) 15. Lika B. 28. Nadjack 2. Da Graca K. 3. Hoxha F. 76. Hamdiu V. 22. De Donno G. 33. Lenjani E. (C) 10. Bunjaku O. 99. Rossi K. 11. Chiappetta C.
Substitutes
18. Diallo M. M. (G) 6. El Jaouhari M. 28. Henchoz N. 4. Magnin M. 5. Maouche Y. 30. Ninte M. 80. Oberli B. 29. Sestito L.	45. Appiah A. 12. Arthur I. K. 34. De Nitti G. (G) 18. Holenstein N. 37. Maluvunu E. 4. Schlappi B. 77. Vogt W. 21. Wetz N. 16. Willimann M.
Coaches
Ursea A.	Yakin H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Hamdiu V. 🟨,
12', Felder V. 🟨,
30', Lenjani E. 🟨,
43', Hoxha F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Chiappetta C. 🟨,
58', Chappuis A. 🟨,
74', Simbakoli U. ↓, Sestito L. ↑,
74', Lenjani E. ↓, Maluvunu E. ↑,
74', Rossi K. ↓, Vogt W. ↑,
75', Hysenaj F. 🟨,
75', Bunjaku O. ↓, Holenstein N. ↑,
76', Lika B. ↓, Wetz N. ↑,
79', Hysenaj F. ↓, Ninte M. ↑,
80', Zoukit N. 🟨,
82', Nadjack ↓, Schlappi B. ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Chiappetta C. ⚽, Holenstein N. (A),
88', Rufli V. 🟨,
90', 0 - 2, De Donno G. ⚽, Maluvunu E. (A),
90+3', Sestito L. 🟨,
90+4', Da Graca K. 🟨,

Preview

Étoile is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Schaffhausen is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Étoile is a favorite.

There will not play in Étoile: Camara S. (Yellow Cards) Harrington F. (Injury) Matheus Vieira (Injury) Neves Mendes D. (Inactive) Traore B. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Schaffhausen: Berhane J. (Yellow Cards) Seiler S. (Injury) Wetz N. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Schaffhausen: Hamdiu V. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Étoile won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Étoile won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League
13.04.25	Wil 1900 - Étoile Carouge	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Étoile Carouge - Bellinzona	7:0 ✺
31.03.25	Étoile Carouge - Stade Nyonnais	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Aarau - Étoile Carouge	2:2 ✺
14.03.25	Étoile Carouge - Thun	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWWTT
- FC Schaffhausen
Swiss Challenge League
11.04.25	Schaffhausen - Lausanne Ouchy	2:3 ✺
04.04.25	Thun - Schaffhausen	3:0 ✺
31.03.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Schaffhausen	6:2 ✺
28.03.25	Schaffhausen - Wil 1900	1:3 ✺
15.03.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Schaffhausen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
14.02.25	Schaffhausen - Étoile Carouge	0:0
08.12.24	Étoile Carouge - Schaffhausen	1:0
19.07.24	Schaffhausen - Étoile Carouge	2:3

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