Match Info

Challenge League - Round 29

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stockhorn Arena (Thun)

Referee: Drmic M. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom


	Thun		Schaffhausen

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.8	7.5
	1.3	5.2	8.4
	1.32	5.08	8.85	Watch
	1.33	4.6	8.5
	1.3	5.15	8.6	Watch
	1.3	5.2	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.37)	5.01 ↑ (4.78)	8.38 ↑ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thun
70.5%

Draw
18.4%

Schaffhausen
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

19.4%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

18.5%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Schaffhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schaffhausen than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Thun - Schaffhausen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Thun (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Thun will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Steffen N. (G) 37. Dahler L. 4. Montolio G. 19. Bamert J. 47. Fehr F. 6. Bertone L. (C) 70. Reichmuth N. 8. Janjicic V. 11. Stewart L. 29. Frith D. 74. Rastoder E.	34. De Nitti G. (G) 2. Da Graca K. 33. Lenjani E. (C) 28. Nadjack 76. Hamdiu V. 18. Holenstein N. 8. Berhane J. 24. Hegglin I. 3. Hoxha F. 99. Rossi K. 11. Chiappetta C.
Substitutes
23. Burki M. 7. Castroman M. 5. Franke D. 33. Gutbub M. 25. Marcolli L. 77. Meichtry F. 16. Roth J. 46. Sessolo H. 1. Ziswiler N. (G)	92. Agrimakis M. (G) 45. Appiah A. 10. Bunjaku O. 22. De Donno G. 6. Gelmi R. 15. Lika B. 37. Maluvunu E. 4. Schlappi B. 77. Vogt W.
Coaches
Lustrinelli M.	Yakin H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Bamert J. 🟨,
26', Hamdiu V. 🟨,
31', Frith D. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Reichmuth N. ⚽, Dahler L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Frith D. ↓, Castroman M. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Reichmuth N. ⚽, Rastoder E. (A),
55', Holenstein N. ↓, Vogt W. ↑,
64', Janjicic V. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Castroman M. ⚽, Stewart L. (A),
69', Stewart L. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑,
69', Reichmuth N. ↓, Meichtry F. ↑,
69', Chiappetta C. ↓, Maluvunu E. ↑,
69', Berhane J. ↓, Bunjaku O. ↑,
69', Lenjani E. ↓, Lika B. ↑,
80', Rastoder E. ↓, Sessolo H. ↑,
82', Hegglin I. ↓, De Donno G. ↑,
84', Nadjack 🟨,
90', Hoxha F. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Thun won 3.

Recent matches Thun is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Schaffhausen is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Thun is certain favorite.

There will not play in Thun: Balaruban A. (Muscle Injury) Burki M. (Foot Injury) Matoshi V. (Shoulder Injury) Tebily H. (Injury) Tomas M. (Arm Injury)

There will not play in Schaffhausen: Seiler S. (Injury) Wetz N. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Schaffhausen: Gelmi R. (Inactive)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Thun won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 35:28 (average 1.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Thun won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21:14 (average 2.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Thun
Swiss Challenge League
31.03.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Thun	3:0 ✺
28.03.25	Thun - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.03.25	Lausanne-Sport - Thun	2:2 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
14.03.25	Étoile Carouge - Thun	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Thun - Lausanne Ouchy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTTW
- FC Schaffhausen
Swiss Challenge League
31.03.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Schaffhausen	6:2 ✺
28.03.25	Schaffhausen - Wil 1900	1:3 ✺
15.03.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Schaffhausen	0:1 ✺
07.03.25	Schaffhausen - Vaduz	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Aarau - Schaffhausen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
31.01.25	Schaffhausen - Thun	2:3
27.10.24	Thun - Schaffhausen	3:1
30.08.24	Schaffhausen - Thun	2:2
11.05.24	Thun - Schaffhausen	3:0
09.02.24	Schaffhausen - Thun	1:1
11.11.23	Thun - Schaffhausen	1:0
28.07.23	Schaffhausen - Thun	0:1

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