Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 29

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Olympique de Sousse (Sousse)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Étoile du Sahel		Bizertin

	1	X	2
	1.75	2.98	4.95
	1.73	2.95	4.78
	1.85	2.8	5.28	Watch
	1.75	2.9	5
	1.69	3.08	5.42	Watch
	1.64	3	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.64)	2.95 ↓ (3)	5.09 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile du Sahel
51.8%

Draw
30.5%

Bizertin
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

29.3%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

28%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile du Sahel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Bizertin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile du Sahel than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bizertin than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Étoile du Sahel - Bizertin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Ben Hessen S. (G) 29. Ben Amor M. 26. Boutmene Z. 4. Bouzaabia M. 9. Chaabani M. 18. Cristo 37. Diawara M. 6. Gbo C. 5. Hnid N. 21. Kechrida W. 35. Ouni R.	22. Maktouf Y. (G) 28. Ayinde O. 12. Chihi W. 8. Cissoko I. 18. Diop M. 20. Doukali M. 14. Dridi A. 21. Fonseca B. 31. Gasmi M. 23. Kchouk Y. 4. Rehimi R.
Substitutes
19. Bouslama M. 33. Dagdoug H. . Ferjani N. . Jebali M. . Khadraoui S. 39. Landolsi M. (G) 23. Ouertani M. A. 11. Senghor M. 17. Smichi N.	24. Allela M. 9. Amri A. 10. Chaabane A. 15. Glo M. . Hammami H. 16. Hanzouli M. (G) 35. Kane I. 17. Midani I. 30. Mouelhi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Chaabani M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile du Sahel won 2.

Étoile du Sahel is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bizertin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Étoile du Sahel has had a series of away games.

In this match, Étoile du Sahel is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Étoile du Sahel won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Étoile du Sahel won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CA Bizertin	4	2	1	1	3:3	0	7
10	Etoile Sahel	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile du Sahel
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
04.05.26	Zarzis - Étoile du Sahel	3:1 ✺
29.04.26	Métlaoui - Étoile du Sahel	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Étoile du Sahel - Marsa	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
19.04.26	Stade Gabèsien - Étoile du Sahel	4:3 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
11.04.26	Olympique Béja - Étoile du Sahel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL
- CA Bizertin
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
04.05.26	Bizertin - Marsa	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Olympique Béja - Bizertin	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Bizertin - Espérance ST	1:1 ✺
Tunisian Cup
19.04.26	Bizertin - Msaken	2:1 penalties ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
11.04.26	Stade Tunisien - Bizertin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
08.11.25	Bizertin - Étoile du Sahel	1:1
01.03.25	Étoile du Sahel - Bizertin	1:0
Club Friendly
08.12.24	Étoile du Sahel - Bizertin	1:1
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
10.11.24	Bizertin - Étoile du Sahel	1:2
08.02.23	Étoile du Sahel - Bizertin	0:2
10.11.22	Bizertin - Étoile du Sahel	1:2
24.03.21	Étoile du Sahel - Bizertin	4:0

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