Match Info

Besta deild karla - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Hasteinsvollur (Vestmannaeyjar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 5
World	OneFootball TV


	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar		Valur

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.50	3.70	2.35
	2.05	3.65	2.95	Watch
	2.11	4.05	3.13
	2.34	4.07	2.64
	2.07	3.9	3.05
	2.05	3.99	3.02	Watch
	2.09	3.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.18)	3.88 ↓ (3.88)	2.88 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
43.2%

Draw
24.2%

Valur
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

23.7%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

24.9%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ÍBV Vestmannaeyar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Valur Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Petersen A. (G) 23. Kristinsson A. 22. Runarsson E. 4. Edeland M. 26. Fridriksson F. 25. Hilmarsson A. (C) 30. Valor V. 8. Gunnarsson B. 80. Thordarson H. 11. Vokes A. 27. Hlynsson R.	1. Schram F. (G) 4. Nakkim M. 7. Fridjonsson S. 3. Gunnarsson H. 10. Jonsson J. (C) 24. Veldman M. 5. Arnarsson K. 17. Heimisson L. 11. Stole I. 19. Gardarson D. 29. Veseli S.
Substitutes
7. Hardarson S. 9. Jeffs L. 5. Kristjansson S. 28. Magnusson H. 42. Pisco 16. Sigursveinsson S. 6. Tomic M. 10. Valgeirsson V. 1. Vidrih I. (G)	25. Agustsson S. (G) 30. Heiddalur G. 16. Kristjansson L. 21. Palsson J. 9. Pedersen P. 95. Petersson T. (G) 26. Sigurbjornsson E. 27. Wissler J.
Coaches
Linta A.	Brazell C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Fridriksson F. ↓, Kristjansson S. ↑,
35', Veseli S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vokes A. ↓, Hardarson S. ↑,
59', Veseli S. ↓, Pedersen P. ↑,
67', Veldman M. 🟨,
68', Hlynsson R. 🟨,
70', Thordarson H. 🟨,
70', Valor V. 🟨,
79', Fridjonsson S. 🟨,
80', 1 - 0, Edeland M. ⚽, Hilmarsson A. (A),
81', Thordarson H. ↓, Jeffs L. ↑,
81', Hlynsson R. ↓, Tomic M. ↑,
82', Hilmarsson A. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Arnarsson K. ⚽, Pedersen P. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ÍBV won 2.

ÍBV has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Valur has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Valur could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, ÍBV has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:51 (averaging 1.2:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for ÍBV against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:12 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
13.09.26	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Thor Akureyri	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Keflavík - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Akraness	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLLL
- Valur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
13.09.26	Valur - Thor Akureyri	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Keflavík - Valur	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Valur - Akraness	2:2 ✺
17.08.26	Valur - KA Akureyri	4:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Nordsjælland - Valur	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
04.07.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Valur	1:0
17.04.26	Valur - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:1
17.08.25	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Valur	4:1
Icelandic Cup
19.06.25	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Valur	0:1
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.05.25	Valur - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	3:0
Icelandic League Cup
10.02.24	Valur - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	7:1
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.06.23	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Valur	0:3

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