The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ñublense 53.2%
Draw 24.5%
Rangers de Talca 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
23.2%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
22.7%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ñublense's performance.
Rangers de Talca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rangers de Talca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ñublense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rangers de Talca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.7%
6.7%
6.7%
Ñublense - Rangers de Talca Predictions
Users Predictions:
Ñublense will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Munoz H. (G) 27. Guzman V. 3. Salomon C. 5. Campos Mosqueira F. 16. Sanhueza D. 13. Saavedra D. (C) 18. Cespedes D. 10. Plaza M. 35. Mansilla C. 26. Calderon E. 22. Valdes A.
17. Campestrini C. (G) 6. Cortes M. 5. Silva S. (C) 34. Valenzuela R. 29. Donoso M. 40. Reyes G. 22. Plaza D. 4. Navarrete J. 20. Moya G. 31. Munoz C. 37. Castro M.
Substitutes
4. Bosso Torres O. 14. Campusano J. 12. Chandia C. (G) 8. Graciani G. 11. Molina Canto L. 36. Munoz B. 31. Poblete J. 21. Reyes L. 15. Valencia S.
43. Concha F. 44. Hernandez M. 35. Obrador Ibanez P. 42. Perez B. 28. Rosales M. 15. Rumbos L. 38. Silva J. 1. Villalobos M. (G) 41. Villarroel M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Plaza D. 🟨,
60', Calderon E. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Mansilla C. ↓, Reyes L. ↑,
63', Valdes A. ↓, Graciani G. ↑,
63', Plaza M. ↓, Molina Canto L. ↑,
68', Munoz C. ↓, Obrador Ibanez P. ↑,
79', Donoso M. 🟨,
80', Cespedes D. ↓, Valencia S. ↑,
84', Calderon E. ↓, Munoz B. ↑,
84', Donoso M. ↓, Rumbos L. ↑,
84', Castro M. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, Munoz B. ⚽, Molina Canto L. (A),
Preview
Ñublense is Qualified for Copa Chile (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ñublense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Rangers has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ñublense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Ñublense might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Ñublense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Ñublense - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.62%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Rangers de Talca - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.16%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Munoz H. (G) 
Campestrini C. (G) 
Concha F. 
Rumbos L. 
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