The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ñublense 33.1%
Draw 30.8%
OHiggins 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.2%
31.9%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
32.2%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ñublense's form might have worsened.
OHiggins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting OHiggins's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ñublense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for OHiggins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
Ñublense - OHiggins Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). OHiggins will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Perez N. (G) 4. Bosso Torres O. 6. Calderon P. 14. Campusano J. (C) 20. Jeraldino I. 35. Mansilla C. 28. Rivera M. 16. Sanhueza D. 19. Tapia I. 22. Valdes A. 15. Valencia S.
31. Carabali O. (G) 33. Brizuela M. 9. Castillo A. 3. Faundez F. 8. Felipe Ogaz 24. Gonzalez F. 11. Leiva J. 7. Martin Sarrafiore 6. Pavez L. 22. Robledo A. (C) 29. Yanez B.
Substitutes
5. Campos Mosqueira F. 18. Cespedes D. 11. Molina Canto L. 25. Munoz H. (G) 7. Ovelar F. 10. Plaza M. 21. Reyes L. 13. Saavedra D. 3. Salomon C.
21. Garrido N. 26. Godoy R. 14. Maturana M. 2. Morales C. 1. Pena Jorge (G) 5. Pinto G. 10. Rabello B. 30. Tapia J. 32. Vecino T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Valdes A. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Calderon P. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Yanez B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Reyes L. 🟨,
59', Felipe Ogaz 🟨,
68', Yanez B. ↓, Godoy R. ↑,
80', Castillo A. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
80', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Maturana M. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Jeraldino I. ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 1.
Ñublense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, OHiggins has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ñublense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Ñublense - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.23%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
OHiggins - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.84%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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Perez N. (G) 
Bosso Torres O. 
Calderon P. 
Carabali O. (G) 
Castillo A. 
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