Match Info

Superettan - Round 14

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Melin P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 3, TV4 Play


	Örgryte		Helsingborg

	1	X	2
	1.83	4	3.4
	1.87	3.75	3.4
				Watch
	1.93	4.15	3.62
				Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.4
	1.87	4.05	3.6	Watch
	1.88	3.75	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)	3.9 ↑ (3.75)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örgryte
49.6%

Draw
23.8%

Helsingborg
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

24.6%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

24.2%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örgryte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Helsingborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Örgryte - Helsingborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Örgryte will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Helsingborg will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Örgryte: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Örgryte will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Gustafsson H. (G) 3. Azulay J. 6. Dyrestam M. 5. Styffe C. 24. Svensson W. 7. Vindehall C. 8. Mujanic A. 15. Dahlqvist I. 14. Paulson D. (C) 11. Christoffersson N. 22. Sana T.	1. Brattberg J. (G) 19. Orn B. 2. Birkfeldt J. (C) 3. Nilsson W. 5. Bengtsson S. 7. Loeper W. 8. Gigovic E. 14. Kjellnas L. 9. Akimey A. 10. Svensson M. 21. Svanback A.
Substitutes
31. Abukar A. 28. Ahmed I. 19. Andreasson A. 10. Barkroth N. 20. Karlsson M. 21. Kenndal W. 12. Samuelsson L.	29. Aga O. 6. Asoma S. 22. Bjurstrom M. H. 4. Gudmann M. 30. Radahl E. (G) 11. Rasmussen M. 23. Westerlund W.
Coaches
Holmberg A.	Saarenpaa K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Loeper W. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Birkfeldt J. ↓, Gudmann M. ↑,
60', Akimey A. ↓, Aga O. ↑,
65', Svensson W. ↓, Andreasson A. ↑,
65', Paulson D. ↓, Barkroth N. ↑,
74', Gigovic E. ↓, Asoma S. ↑,
77', Mujanic A. ↓, Abukar A. ↑,
79', Bengtsson S. 🟨,
86', 0 - 2, Loeper W. ⚽, Svensson M. (A),
87', Loeper W. 🟨,
87', Vindehall C. ↓, Karlsson M. ↑,
87', Styffe C. ↓, Kenndal W. ↑,
89', Loeper W. ↓, Bjurstrom M. H. ↑,
89', Svensson M. ↓, Westerlund W. ↑,
90+3', Karlsson M. 🟨,
90+4', Andreasson A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 2.

Örgryte is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Helsingborg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Örgryte could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Örgryte won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
22.06.25	Kalmar - Örgryte	2:3 ✺
15.06.25	Brage - Örgryte	3:2 ✺
31.05.25	Örgryte - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
26.05.25	Umeå - Örgryte	3:3 ✺
21.05.25	Örgryte - Sandviken	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WLWTW
- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Superettan
23.06.25	Helsingborg - Umeå	5:1 ✺
14.06.25	Falkenberg - Helsingborg	2:2 ✺
01.06.25	Helsingborg - Östersund	0:0 ✺
27.05.25	Trelleborg - Helsingborg	0:0 ✺
22.05.25	Helsingborg - Oddevold	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
09.11.24	Helsingborg - Örgryte	1:2
07.05.24	Örgryte - Helsingborg	0:1
Club Friendly
23.03.24	Helsingborg - Örgryte	2:0
Swedish Superettan
08.08.23	Helsingborg - Örgryte	2:3
15.07.23	Örgryte - Helsingborg	1:2
20.11.21	Örgryte - Helsingborg	1:1
20.04.21	Helsingborg - Örgryte	4:1

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