Match Info

Superettan - Round 10

Date: 27 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Vångavallen (Trelleborg)

Referee: Melin P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 1, Max, TV4 Play


	Trelleborg		Helsingborg

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.88	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.2
	2.49	3.09	2.94	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.94
	2.44	3.19	2.92	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.2
	2.34	3.27	2.97	Watch
	2.49	3.09	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.28)	3.21 ↓ (3.5)	3 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trelleborg
39.6%

Draw
29.2%

Helsingborg
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

26.3%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

26.6%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trelleborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Helsingborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76%	12%	12%

Trelleborg - Helsingborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Trelleborg will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Helsingborg will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trelleborg: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Helsingborg (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Trelleborg will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Trelleborg (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Helsingborg (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Larsen A. (G) 20. Horberg F. 19. Karlsson T. 3. Weberg C. (C) 15. Godwin E. 21. Alievski E. 16. Asani A. 10. Vidjeskog A. 22. Martinsson F. 26. Kack J. 11. Culum A.	1. Brattberg J. (G) 19. Orn B. 4. Gudmann M. 3. Nilsson W. (C) 5. Bengtsson S. 7. Loeper W. 8. Gigovic E. 14. Kjellnas L. 9. Akimey A. 21. Svanback A. 29. Aga O.
Substitutes
27. Baraslievski A. 17. Bohman F. 25. Lofberg E. 12. Nilsson M. (G) 5. Ogwuche A. 4. Rehn A. 8. Ruuska O.	6. Asoma S. 22. Bjurstrom M. H. 15. Gorefalt T. 30. Radahl E. (G) 11. Rasmussen M. 10. Svensson M. 23. Westerlund W.
Coaches
Jacobsson S.	Saarenpaa K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Akimey A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Aga O. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
46', Loeper W. ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
61', Culum A. ↓, Ruuska O. ↑,
62', Vidjeskog A. 🟨,
72', Alievski E. ↓, Bohman F. ↑,
77', Asani A. 🟨,
81', Asani A. ↓, Ogwuche A. ↑,
81', Kack J. ↓, Rehn A. ↑,
81', Martinsson F. ↓, Lofberg E. ↑,
85', Gigovic E. ↓, Bjurstrom M. H. ↑,
85', Akimey A. ↓, Asoma S. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation) and 13 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trelleborg won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Trelleborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Trelleborg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Trelleborg won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Trelleborg won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
21.05.25	Falkenberg - Trelleborg	4:0 ✺
17.05.25	Trelleborg - Västerås SK	5:0 ✺
11.05.25	Kalmar - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Örebro - Trelleborg	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Trelleborg - Varbergs BoIS	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTL
- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Superettan
22.05.25	Helsingborg - Oddevold	0:2 ✺
19.05.25	Landskrona - Helsingborg	3:3 ✺
13.05.25	Helsingborg - Brage	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Varbergs BoIS - Helsingborg	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Helsingborg - Kalmar	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
01.09.24	Helsingborg - Trelleborg	0:3
17.05.24	Trelleborg - Helsingborg	0:0
Svenska Cupen
02.03.24	Trelleborg - Helsingborg	2:1
Club Friendly
03.02.24	Trelleborg - Helsingborg	0:1
Swedish Superettan
28.10.23	Trelleborg - Helsingborg	0:0
24.07.23	Helsingborg - Trelleborg	1:3
Svenska Cupen
26.02.23	Helsingborg - Trelleborg	1:3

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