Match Info

Division 3 - Group 6 - Round 23

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Lystlunden Stadion (Horten)


	Ørn-Horten		Lillehammer

	1	X	2
	4.50	4.40	1.50
	4.6	4.3	1.49
	4.39	4.2	1.51
	4.58	4.54	1.54	Watch
	4.3	4.1	1.48
	4.68	4.4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↓ (5.08)	4.32 ↓ (5.4)	1.5 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ørn-Horten
19.8%

Draw
20.7%

Lillehammer
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

16.9%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

15.4%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ørn-Horten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Lillehammer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lillehammer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

The ML Model estimate for Ørn-Horten aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillehammer than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Ørn Horten - Lillehammer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Leqvamb A. M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 6th and 1st in the Promotion).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Ørn-Horten could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Lillehammer as the clear and undisputed favorite.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lillehammer	23	18	2	3	84:32	52	56
6	Orn	23	10	5	8	44:36	8	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
19.09.26	Ørn-Horten - Oppsal	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Sandefjord 2 - Ørn-Horten	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Ørn-Horten - Sarpsborg 2	3:4 ✺
30.08.26	Bjørkelangen Høland - Ørn-Horten	2:5 ✺
15.08.26	Ørn-Horten - Gjøvik-Lyn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWW
- Lillehammer FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
03.10.26	Lillehammer - Oppsal	4:2 ✺
26.09.26	Råde - Lillehammer	1:5 ✺
12.09.26	Sarpsborg 2 - Lillehammer	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Elverum - Lillehammer	4:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Lillehammer - Strømmen	2:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLLL

Ørn-Horten - Lillehammer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide