Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Lystlunden Stadion (Horten)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Ørn-Horten		Sotra

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.95
	3.3	3.6	1.95
	3.53	3.45	1.95
	3.55	3.56	1.99	Watch
	3.4	3.55	1.91
	3.3	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.81)	3.54 ↓ (4.1)	1.95 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ørn-Horten
27.2%

Draw
25.8%

Sotra
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

22%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

21.2%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ørn-Horten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Sotra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sotra than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Ørn Horten - Sotra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Solberg K. (G) 15. Auby J. 4. Forsund A. (C) 19. Hamde D. 11. Helling G. 8. Knutsen T. 7. Lindquist Ch. 18. Nilsen N. 2. Nilsen S. 21. Ottesen M. 28. Werni S.	1. Grasmo M. (G) 17. Aaserud M. 18. Dirdal B. 7. Falck F. 8. Foldnes H. 5. Gjertson N. 11. Heltne T. 19. Kilen L. 24. Larsen E. 2. Ree K. 20. Torum D. (C)
Substitutes
17. Hargott C. 14. Krawiec A. 12. Myhrvold L. 5. Pop S. 13. Skullestad V. 27. Skulstad-Hansen E. 26. Sorensen L. 6. Tornby F. 20. Winge P.	12. Johansson D. (G) 4. Kalsaas E. 22. Kjorsvik E. 10. Pedersen P. 23. Rottingen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Hamde D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gjertson N. ↓, Kalsaas E. ↑,
62', Werni S. ↓, Krawiec A. ↑,
62', Helling G. ↓, Tornby F. ↑,
63', Nilsen N. 🟨,
82', 0 - 1, Kilen L. ⚽,
83', Krawiec A. ↓, Hargott C. ↑,
86', Falck F. 🟨,
90+1', Ottesen M. ↓, Pop S. ↑,
90+2', Dirdal B. ↓, Kjorsvik E. ↑,
90+6', Torum D. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Ørn-Horten is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sotra is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ørn-Horten could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sotra will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ørn-Horten won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:10 (average 1.3:3.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ørn-Horten won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
29.09.24	Brattvåg - Ørn-Horten	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Ørn-Horten - Jerv	1:1 ✺
16.09.24	Brann 2 - Ørn-Horten	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Ørn-Horten - Viking 2	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Hødd - Ørn-Horten	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TTWWL
- Sotra SK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
28.09.24	Sotra - Kvik Halden	3:0 ✺
21.09.24	Notodden - Sotra	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Sotra - Vard Haugesund	4:0 ✺
08.09.24	Arendal - Sotra	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Sotra - Flekkerøy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
15.06.24	Sotra - Ørn-Horten	2:0
01.10.22	Ørn-Horten - Sotra	2:4
03.07.22	Sotra - Ørn-Horten	4:2

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