Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: I Liqa - Round 17

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	İmişli		Mingachevir

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.5	4	5
	1.43	3.84	7.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.51)	3.92 ↓ (4)	6.1 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İmişli
62%

Draw
23.2%

Mingachevir
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İmişli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Mingachevir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İmişli than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

İmişli - Mingachevir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Tahirov M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
85', Souza G. 🟥,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches İmişli won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match İmişli is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches İmişli won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 0.8:0.2).

Including matches at home between the teams İmişli won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İmişli FK
Azerbaijan First Division
28.02.25	Qaradağ Lökbatan - İmişli	0:1 ✺
19.02.25	İmişli - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
13.02.25	İmişli - Gabala	1:2 ✺
06.02.25	İmişli - Karvan	2:0 ✺
30.01.25	MOIK Baku - İmişli	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL
- Mingachevir FK
Azerbaijan First Division
28.02.25	Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu	1:0 ✺
20.02.25	Baku Sporting - Mingachevir	0:1 ✺
13.02.25	Mingachevir - Cəbrayıl	0:0 ✺
07.02.25	Mingachevir - Qaradağ Lökbatan	1:1 ✺
31.01.25	Zagatala - Mingachevir	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
13.12.24	Mingachevir - İmişli	0:0
03.04.24	Mingachevir - İmişli	0:1
25.12.23	İmişli - Mingachevir	0:0
Azerbaijan Cup
30.11.23	İmişli - Mingachevir	1:0
Azerbaijan First Division
05.10.23	Mingachevir - İmişli	1:1
01.03.23	Mingachevir - İmişli	0:2

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