Match Info

I Liqa - Round 6

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday


	Zagatala		Mingachevir

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.48	3.15	2.52
	3.15	3.25	1.97
	5.75	4.41	1.44	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (5.15)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	2.13 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagatala
27.6%

Draw
27.5%

Mingachevir
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

26.4%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagatala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zagatala's performance.

Mingachevir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mingachevir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Zagatala - Mingachevir Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Zagatala will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Mingachevir will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mingachevir (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Mingachevir (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mingachevir (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Kalunga K. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Shabanov R. (Pen),
30', 1 - 2, Abdullayev S. ⚽,
43', 2 - 2, Kazimov K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 2 - 3, Kadiri M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagatala won 2.

Mingachevir is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zagatala may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Zagatala won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Zagatala won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagatala PFK
Azerbaijan First Division
15.10.25	Səbail - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
02.10.25	Zagatala - Baku Sporting	1:1 ✺
25.09.25	MOIK Baku - Zagatala	0:1 ✺
11.09.25	Zagatala - Cəbrayıl	1:0 ✺
23.05.25	Cəbrayıl - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWWL
- Mingachevir FK
Azerbaijan First Division
16.10.25	Mingachevir - Shimal	3:1 ✺
01.10.25	Shahdag Qusar - Mingachevir	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Cəbrayıl - Mingachevir	1:3 ✺
12.09.25	Səbail - Mingachevir	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
03.04.25	Mingachevir - Zagatala	2:2
31.01.25	Zagatala - Mingachevir	2:1
Azerbaijan Cup
30.10.24	Mingachevir - Zagatala	1:0
Azerbaijan First Division
03.10.24	Mingachevir - Zagatala	2:3
09.05.24	Mingachevir - Zagatala	0:0
07.03.24	Zagatala - Mingachevir	1:2
23.11.23	Mingachevir - Zagatala	0:1

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