Match Info

Super Lig - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)

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	İstanbul Başakşehir		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.61	3.3	2.57	Watch
	2.73	3.5	2.65
	2.73	3.44	2.53	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.45
	2.75	3.47	2.64	Watch
	2.66	3.33	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.54)	3.39 ↓ (3.48)	2.55 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
35.3%

Draw
27.8%

Beşiktaş
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.9%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

26.3%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	31.2%	50%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Beşiktaş (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - Başakşehir (2.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Beşiktaş (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Beşiktaş (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sengezer M. (G) 42. Sahiner O. (C) 5. Duarte L. 3. Opoku J. 21. Operi C. 8. Kemen O. 20. Gunes U. 11. Fayzullaev A. 14. Shomurodov E. 25. Harit A. 9. Selke D.	30. Destanoglu E. (G) 62. Murillo M. 12. Agbadou E. 35. Djalo T. 33. Yilmaz R. 23. Asllani K. 18. Cerny V. 15. Olaitan J. 10. Kokcu O. (C) 19. Toure E. B. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Substitutes
80. Alemdar D. (G) 27. Ba O. 77. Brnic I. 6. Bulut O. 13. Crespo M. 10. Da Costa N. 88. Karatas K. 2. Ozdemir B. 7. Sari Y. 91. Yildirim B.	91. Hekimoglu M. 26. Jota Silva 17. Kayra Yilmaz K. 7. Rashica M. 25. Sazdagi G. 53. Topcu E. 8. Ucan S. 14. Uduokhai F. 11. Under C. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G)
Coaches
Sahin N.	Yalcin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', Toure E. B. ↓, Rashica M. ↑,
36', 1 - 0, Selke D. ⚽, Duarte L. (A),
43', 1 - 1, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 1 - 2, Kokcu O. ⚽, Oh Hyeon-Gyu (A),
64', Agbadou E. 🟨,
66', Selke D. ↓, Yildirim B. ↑,
66', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Sari Y. ↑,
73', Murillo M. 🟨,
74', Gunes U. ↓, Ozdemir B. ↑,
74', Harit A. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
74', Asllani K. ↓, Ucan S. ↑,
82', Yildirim B. 🟨,
84', Sahin N. 🟨,
85', Duarte L. 🟨,
86', Cerny V. ↓, Under C. ↑,
86', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
86', Opoku J. ↓, Karatas K. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Yildirim B. ⚽, Brnic I. (A),
90', Yildirim B. ↓, Da Costa N. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 3, Hekimoglu M. ⚽, Rashica M. (A),
90+9', Kokcu O. ↓, Uduokhai F. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 1.

Başakşehir has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Beşiktaş is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Bulut T. (Injury) Uysal N. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Başakşehir won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Başakşehir won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Besiktas	6	4	0	2	14:7	7	12
14	Basaksehir	6	2	1	3	10:11	-1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Beşiktaş - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.3%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
08.02.26	Eyüpspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.02.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
31.01.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Çaykur Rizespor	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Kayserispor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTWW
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
08.02.26	Beşiktaş - Alanyaspor	2:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.02.26	Kocaelispor - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
31.01.26	Beşiktaş - Konyaspor	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Eyüpspor - Beşiktaş	2:2 ✺
19.01.26	Beşiktaş - Kayserispor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
13.09.25	Beşiktaş - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:1
12.04.25	Beşiktaş - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:2
10.11.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş	0:0
04.04.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş	1:1
12.11.23	Beşiktaş - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:0
12.03.23	İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş	0:2
12.09.22	Beşiktaş - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:1

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