Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 12

Date: 31 October 2022, Monday

Location: Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Guzenge M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
France	beIN Sports Max
Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	İstanbul Başakşehir		Giresunspor

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	5.5
	1.58	3.9	5.5
	1.57	3.8	5.6
	1.56	3.9	5.6
	1.6	4.04	6.37
	1.53	3.9	6.5
	1.55	4.05	5.95	Watch
	1.57	3.95	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)	3.92 ↑ (3.86)	5.83 ↑ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

İstanbul Başakşehir
60%

Draw
23.9%

Giresunspor
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

24%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

24.1%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Giresunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giresunspor than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.1%	4.8%	12%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Giresunspor Predictions

Users Predictions: İstanbul Başakşehir will win (69 of 83 users predict this - 83.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.07% – 91.19%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

Başakşehir has the most likely position - 2 (16.86%), has project points - 63, has currently - 20, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (7%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Giresunspor has the most likely position - 18 (15.51%), has project points - 35, has currently - 9, has a good chance of relegated (56%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 37, importance 33, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Giresunspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Başakşehir is a favorite.

There will not play in Başakşehir: Ozil M. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Başakşehir: Touba A. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Başakşehir won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Başakşehir won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- İstanbul Başakşehir
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.10.22	Fiorentina - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
22.10.22	Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	İstanbul Başakşehir - İstanbulspor	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.10.22	İstanbul Başakşehir - RFS	3:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
10.10.22	İstanbul Başakşehir - Sivasspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWWL
- Giresunspor
Turkish Super League
24.10.22	Giresunspor - Ankaragücü	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
20.10.22	Giresunspor - Yeni Amasyaspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
17.10.22	Sivasspor - Giresunspor	3:0 ✺
08.10.22	Giresunspor - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
02.10.22	Alanyaspor - Giresunspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
15.05.22	Giresunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:1
21.12.21	İstanbul Başakşehir - Giresunspor	3:1
Turkish Cup
17.01.18	İstanbul Başakşehir - Giresunspor	2:1
27.12.17	Giresunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:1

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