The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fiorentina 59.4%
Draw 23.5%
İstanbul Başakşehir 17.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.5%
26.2%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.2%
28.1%
21.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina's performance.
İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İstanbul Başakşehir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentina that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
7.3%
12.7%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
Fiorentina will win
(44 of 55 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.43% – 90.57%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Fiorentina has currently - 7, has a chance of 1st (23%), has a good chance of 2nd (75%), has a very small chance of 3rd (2%), has a very good chance of knockout phase (98%), has a good chance of round of 16 (73%), has a chance of qtrs (47%), has a chance of semis (28%), has a small chance of final (15%), has a small chance of win league (8%).
Başakşehir has currently - 10, has a good chance of 1st (77%), has a chance of 2nd (23%), has not chance of 3rd, was already of knockout phase, has a good chance of round of 16 (87%), has a chance of qtrs (41%), has a chance of semis (16%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has quality60, small importance19, match rating39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
The game of competitors is shaky now.
In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
There will not play in Fiorentina: Castrovilli G.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez N.
(Injury)
Sottil R.
(Injury)
There will not play in Başakşehir: Ozil M.
(Back Injury)
There are questionable in Başakşehir: Ozbayrakli S.
(Injury)
Touba A.
(Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
Australia
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