Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 15 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Tarczynski Arena (Wrocław)

Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play


	Śląsk Wrocław		St. Gallen

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.6	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.45
	2.45	3.5	2.65
	2.5	3.53	2.62
	2.47	3.68	2.57	Watch
	2.56	3.55	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.72)	3.54 ↑ (3.29)	2.6 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Śląsk Wrocław
37.5%

Draw
26.4%

St. Gallen
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

27.4%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

St. Gallen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	38.5%	30.8%

Śląsk Wrocław - St. Gallen Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). St. Gallen will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leszczynski R. (G) 33. Matsenko Y. 5. Petkov A. (C) 87. Petrov S. 22. Zukowski M. 17. Schwarz P. 16. Pokorny P. 77. Cebula M. 7. Samiec-Talar P. 11. Musiolik S. 10. Nahuel M.	1. Ati Zigi L. (G) 4. Stanic J. 15. Diaby A. 5. Ambrosius S. 36. Okoroji C. 8. Quintilla J. 16. Gortler L. (C) 7. Witzig C. 24. Toma B. 9. Geubbels W. 10. Akolo C.
Substitutes
21. Baluta T. 9. Eyamba J. 6. Gerstenstein L. 78. Guercio T. 26. Ince B. 29. Jezierski J. 1. Loska T. (G) 19. Ortiz A. 2. Paluszek A. 27. Rejczyk F. 44. Sliczniak H. (G) 3. Szota S.	11. Cisse M. 77. Csoboth K. 35. Dumrath B. (G) 22. Faber K. 63. Konietzke C. 90. Milosevic J. 14. Noah Yannick 30. Ruiz V. 33. Schmidt I. 64. Stevanovic M. 20. Vallci A. 25. Watkowiak L. (G)
Coaches
Magiera J.	Maassen E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
2', Okoroji C. 🟨,
6', Zukowski M. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Toma B. ⚽, Akolo C. (A),
31', Quintilla J. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Schwarz P. ⚽, Zukowski M. (A),
43', 2 - 1, Samiec-Talar P. ⚽, Nahuel M. (A),
45+1', Gortler L. 🟨,
45+1', Matsenko Y. 🟨,
45+1', Petkov A. 🟨,
45+3', 3 - 1, Petkov A. ⚽, Schwarz P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Stanic J. 🟨,
61', Gortler L. ↓, Stevanovic M. ↑,
61', Stanic J. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
67', Samiec-Talar P. ↓, Ince B. ↑,
77', Petkov A. 🟨,
77', Nahuel M. 🟨,
81', Cebula M. ↓, Paluszek A. ↑,
90+12', Nahuel M. 🟨,
90+12', Leszczynski R. 🟨,
90+17', Ortiz A. 🟨,
90+18', 3 - 2, Geubbels W. (Pen),
90+19', Musiolik S. ↓, Jezierski J. ↑,
90+19', Schwarz P. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
90+19', Geubbels W. ↓, Milosevic J. ↑,
90+19', Matsenko Y. ↓, Guercio T. ↑,
90+22', Ortiz A. 🟨,
90+24', Witzig C. ↓, Konietzke C. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Śląsk is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

St. Gallen is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

St. Gallen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Śląsk have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Śląsk won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.08.24	Widzew Łódź - Śląsk Wrocław	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.24	St. Gallen - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0 ✺
01.08.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Riga	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.07.24	Piast Gliwice - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.24	Riga - Śląsk Wrocław	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWLL
- FC St. Gallen
Swiss Super League
11.08.24	St. Gallen - Grasshoppers	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.24	St. Gallen - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
04.08.24	Lausanne-Sport - St. Gallen	3:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Tobol Kostanay - St. Gallen	0:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
28.07.24	St. Gallen - Young Boys	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.24	St. Gallen - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0

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