Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 13

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki		Pilica Białobrzegi

	1	X	2
	1.26	5.25	8
	1.25	5.44	7.35
	1.26	5.44	7.35
	1.25	5.5	8.3	Watch
	1.27	5.25	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.3)	5.38 ↑ (4.8)	7.7 ↓ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
71.6%

Draw
16.7%

Pilica Białobrzegi
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

18.9%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

18%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Pilica Białobrzegi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pilica Białobrzegi than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Świt is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pilica Białobrzegi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Świt have a series of guest games.

In this match Świt is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Świt to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Świt won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Świt won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.10.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:3 ✺
07.10.23	Mławianka Mława - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
04.10.23	Legia II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	6:0 ✺
22.09.23	Broń Radom - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWWWT
- MKS Pilica Białobrzegi
Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.10.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	Concordia Elbląg - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - Broń Radom	1:4 ✺
24.09.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Pilica Białobrzegi	3:1 ✺
16.09.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - Legia II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.04.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi	4:1
21.09.22	Pilica Białobrzegi - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2
28.05.22	Pilica Białobrzegi - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:1
23.10.21	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi	3:0

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