Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 10

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday


	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki		Concordia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.4	6.25
	1.37	4.77	6.02
	1.35	4.7	6.75	Watch
	1.4	4.35	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.55)	4.56 ↑ (4)	6.26 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
65.7%

Draw
19.8%

Concordia Elbląg
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

22.7%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

21.8%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki's performance.

Concordia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concordia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Świt won 3.

Recent matches Świt is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Concordia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Concordia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Świt is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Świt won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Świt won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
22.09.23	Broń Radom - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	GKS Bełchatów - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
23.08.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTTTT
- Concordia Elbląg
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Concordia Elbląg - Widzew Łódź	0:4 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
23.09.23	Concordia Elbląg - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	4:1 ✺
08.09.23	Broń Radom - Concordia Elbląg	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Concordia Elbląg - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	2:0
08.10.22	Concordia Elbląg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:0
08.08.20	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	5:1
14.09.19	Concordia Elbląg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:0
12.08.16	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	2:0
Polish Division 2 - East
23.03.14	Concordia Elbląg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0

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