Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 27

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki		Ząbkovia Ząbki

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.45	2.42
	2.34	3.42	2.56
	2.43	3.67	2.45	Watch
	2.42	3.86	2.45	Watch
	2.07	3.51	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.07)	3.58 ↑ (3.51)	2.53 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
38.8%

Draw
25.3%

Ząbkovia Ząbki
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

25.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

23.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Ząbkovia Ząbki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ząbkovia Ząbki than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Ząbkovia Ząbki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
49', 2 - 0, ⚽,
53', 2 - 1, ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, ⚽,
62', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+7', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 7).

Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.

Ząbkovia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Świt won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Swit Mazowiecki	11	6	2	3	20:12	8	20
7	Zabki	10	5	1	4	19:18	1	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.04.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
03.04.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Olimpia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Warta Sieradz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	GKS Bełchatów - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTL
- Ząbkovia Ząbki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.04.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wisła Płock II	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	ŁKS Łomża - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - GKS Bełchatów	1:4 ✺
21.03.26	Troszyn - Ząbkovia Ząbki	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.09.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	5:1

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