Match Info

HNL - Round 28

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Šubićevac (Šibenik)

Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go


	Šibenik		Osijek

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.25
	3.4	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3.15	2.29
	3.23	3.25	2.23	Watch
	3.3	3	2.2
	3.29	3.18	2.27	Watch
	3.2	3.15	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.13)	3.15 ↓ (3.47)	2.24 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Šibenik
28.6%

Draw
29.7%

Osijek
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

27.2%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

26.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Šibenik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Šibenik - Osijek Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Šibenik will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Osijek will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osijek: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Filipovic I. (G) 55. Peric S. 15. Agyemang M. 44. Zuta L. 43. Grzan S. 8. Bakic O. 21. Pozo I. 32. Durakovic E. 36. Kavelj A. 9. Bozic I. 18. Santini I. (C)	31. Malenica M. (C) 42. Renan Guedes 15. Mersinaj J. 26. Jelenic L. 22. Jurisic R. 6. Babec H. 98. Mikolcic S. 36. Omerovic N. 66. Pusic P. 39. Bukvic D. 17. Jakupovic A.
Substitutes
1. Djakovic A. (G) 70. Jakolis A. 22. Kolega T. 27. Kulusic L. 11. Laca I. 3. Liu A. 7. Majic J. 25. Mohorovic P. (G) 88. Prekodravac M. 28. Roca I. 30. Zdunic B.	9. Ademi K. 55. Cvijanovic I. 20. Dantas T. 1. Del Favero M. (G) 27. Hernani 5. Mkrtchyan S. 10. Pedro Lima 14. Soldo M. 13. Tuia A.
Coaches
Vidovic R.	Rozman S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Mikolcic S. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
21', 1 - 0, Santini I. (Pen),
40', 2 - 0, Grzan S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Renan Guedes ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
54', Santini I. 🟨,
56', Bukvic D. ↓, Dantas T. ↑,
61', 3 - 0, Santini I. ⚽,
62', Peric S. 🟨,
69', Pozo I. ↓, Laca I. ↑,
74', Bozic I. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Mersinaj J. ⚽, Omerovic N. (A),
77', Babec H. ↓, Hernani ↑,
77', Jakupovic A. ↓, Ademi K. ↑,
79', 4 - 1, Grzan S. ⚽, Laca I. (A),
85', Santini I. ↓, Majic J. ↑,
85', Zuta L. ↓, Kolega T. ↑,
86', Kavelj A. ↓, Roca I. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Šibenik won 1.

Šibenik is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Osijek has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Osijek could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Osijek will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Šibenik: Cvek L. (Red Card) Nizic Z. (Injury)

There will not play in Osijek: Hasic E. (Ankle Injury) Matkovic A. (Injury) Pusic P. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Osijek: Zivkovic F. (Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Šibenik won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 9:36 (average 0.6:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Šibenik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 3:22 (average 0.4:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Šibenik
Croatian HNL
30.03.25	Hajduk Split - Šibenik	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Šibenik - Istra 1961	1:0 ✺
07.03.25	Rijeka - Šibenik	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Šibenik - Varaždin	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Gorica - Šibenik	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWTLL
- NK Osijek
Croatian Cup
02.04.25	Slaven Belupo - Osijek	1:0 penalties ✺
Croatian HNL
29.03.25	Istra 1961 - Osijek	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Osijek - Varaždin	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Osijek	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Osijek - Slaven Belupo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
24.01.25	Osijek - Šibenik	2:2
19.10.24	Šibenik - Osijek	1:3
04.08.24	Osijek - Šibenik	1:2
19.05.23	Šibenik - Osijek	1:4
18.03.23	Osijek - Šibenik	0:0
13.11.22	Šibenik - Osijek	0:2
03.09.22	Osijek - Šibenik	1:1

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