Match Info

CROATIA: HNL - Round 23

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Gradski stadion Velika Gorica (Velika Gorica)

Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Croatia	HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Gorica		Šibenik

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	4.33
				Watch
	1.86	3.1	4.1
	1.9	3.22	4.65
	1.86	3.31	4.43	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.2
	1.89	3.3	4.46	Watch
	1.86	3.1	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.93)	3.21 ↓ (3.37)	4.32 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gorica
49.7%

Draw
28.9%

Šibenik
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

27.5%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

26.8%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Šibenik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Gorica - Šibenik Predictions

Users Predictions: Gorica will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Banic I. (G) 28. Bralic S. 25. Krizmanic K. 5. Les M. 2. Mikanovic D. 7. Pajaziti A. 55. Caic V. 27. Sikosek G. 14. Elezi A. 32. Halilovic T. 50. Erceg A.	40. Filipovic I. (G) 15. Agyemang M. 55. Peric S. 24. Puncec R. 43. Grzan S. 21. Pozo I. 5. Cvek L. 32. Durakovic E. 8. Bakic O. 18. Santini I. 9. Bozic I.
Substitutes
99. Gashi M. 6. Gurlica J. 21. Kolar M. 44. Kresic A. 77. Majstorovic V. 8. Ndockyt M. 10. Prsir J. 11. Slogar M. 4. Steenvoorden M. 90. Stiglec D. 20. Vrzic L. 1. Ziger K. (G)	36. Kavelj A. 22. Kolega T. 17. Koscevic Z. 27. Kulusic L. 11. Laca I. 3. Liu A. 25. Mohorovic P. (G) 88. Prekodravac M. 28. Roca I. 30. Zdunic B. 44. Zuta L.
Coaches
Carevic M.	Vidovic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Erceg A. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Elezi A. ⚽,
43', Erceg A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Cvek L. ↓, Laca I. ↑,
65', Durakovic E. ↓, Kavelj A. ↑,
68', Pajaziti A. ↓, Ndockyt M. ↑,
68', Sikosek G. ↓, Kresic A. ↑,
75', Agyemang M. 🟨,
77', Elezi A. ↓, Majstorovic V. ↑,
79', Agyemang M. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
85', Caic V. ↓, Gurlica J. ↑,
90+7', Santini I. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 9 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gorica won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Gorica is a favorite.

There will not play in Gorica: Cuic F. (Red Card) Fiolic I. (Injury) Prsir J. (Injury)

There will not play in Šibenik: Kolega T. (Injury) Zuta L. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Gorica won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 32:23 (average 1.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Gorica won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:13 (average 1.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Gorica
Croatian HNL
15.02.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Gorica - Osijek	1:0 ✺
31.01.25	Istra 1961 - Gorica	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Gorica - Varaždin	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.01.25	Primorje - Gorica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWTTT
- HNK Šibenik
Croatian HNL
14.02.25	Šibenik - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:2 ✺
07.02.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Šibenik	3:0 ✺
01.02.25	Šibenik - Slaven Belupo	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Osijek - Šibenik	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.01.25	Šibenik - GOŠK Gabela	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
24.11.24	Šibenik - Gorica	1:0
30.08.24	Gorica - Šibenik	2:1
14.04.23	Šibenik - Gorica	0:4
05.02.23	Gorica - Šibenik	0:3
Croatian Cup
09.11.22	Šibenik - Gorica	2:0
Croatian HNL
02.10.22	Šibenik - Gorica	1:1
23.07.22	Gorica - Šibenik	0:0

Upcoming Matches