Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Round 9

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Żebbuġ Rangers		Gudja United

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.7	3.7
	1.72	3.8	3.85	Watch
	1.84	3.87	3.28
	1.79	3.98	3.58	Watch
	1.74	3.82	3.82
	1.72	3.8	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.38)	3.83 ↑ (3.25)	3.68 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żebbuġ Rangers
51.7%

Draw
23.7%

Gudja United
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

27.7%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

27.6%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żebbuġ Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Żebbuġ Rangers's performance.

Gudja United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gudja United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żebbuġ Rangers than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Żebbuġ Rangers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gudja United than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gudja United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Żebbuġ Rangers - Gudja United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Azzopardi J. (G) 10. Bezzina J. 17. Carbone J. 6. Cassar L. 7. Diaz C. 22. Gaetano J. 3. Mifsud G. 8. Mizzi A. (C) 9. Mosquera D. 18. Sciberras O. 23. Vella J.	1. Attard D. (G) 19. Conti M. 10. Cremona L. 8. Cutajar J. 18. Dias Santos W. 9. Diego 4. Gauci N. 30. Micallef E. 22. Mifsud D. (C) 13. Mizzi A. 7. Willian
Substitutes
19. Adeyemi S. 20. Attard A. 12. Briffa S. (G) 14. Buttigieg S. 2. Camilleri L. 11. Diacono S. 15. Micallef A. 4. Saliba D. 5. Zammit G.	12. Attard J. 23. Bartolo T. 5. Buontempo G. 11. Delmar J. 99. Formosa M. 14. Grech J. 26. Pisani J. (G) 77. Shola H. S. 17. Tasic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Mosquera D. (Pen),
44', Mizzi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Sciberras O. 🟨,
68', 1 - 1, Mifsud D. (Pen),
68', Micallef E. ↓, Bartolo T. ↑,
68', Mifsud D. ↓, Shola H. S. ↑,
69', Willian ↓, Tasic V. ↑,
72', Carbone J. ↓, Adeyemi S. ↑,
73', Bezzina J. 🟨,
77', Vella J. ↓, Saliba D. ↑,
81', Sciberras O. 🟥,
84', Mizzi A. 🟨,
84', Bezzina J. ↓, Camilleri L. ↑,
85', Mosquera D. 🟨,
89', Conti M. ↓, Formosa M. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żebbuġ Rangers
Maltese Challenge League
01.12.24	Żebbuġ Rangers - Fgura United	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Tarxien Rainbows - Żebbuġ Rangers	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Żebbuġ Rangers - Santa Lucia	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Żurrieq - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Żebbuġ Rangers - Lija Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLLT
- Gudja United
Maltese Challenge League
01.12.24	Gudja United - Senglea Athletic	4:1 ✺
24.11.24	Fgura United - Gudja United	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Gudja United - Tarxien Rainbows	1:3 ✺
26.10.24	Santa Lucia - Gudja United	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Gudja United - Żurrieq	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
28.01.23	Żebbuġ Rangers - Gudja United	2:0
09.09.22	Gudja United - Żebbuġ Rangers	2:1
Maltese Challenge League
01.02.19	Żebbuġ Rangers - Gudja United	1:2
21.09.18	Gudja United - Żebbuġ Rangers	0:0

Żebbuġ Rangers - Gudja United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide