Match Info

Challenge League - Round 10

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Żurrieq		Fgura United

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	1.85	Watch
	3.65	3.6	1.8
	3.74	3.69	1.8	Watch
	3.7	3.3	1.85
	3.87	3.55	1.81
	3.6	3.5	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.61)	3.54 ↓ (3.66)	1.81 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żurrieq
24.7%

Draw
25.5%

Fgura United
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

24.9%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

24.5%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żurrieq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The chances for Fgura United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fgura United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Żurrieq - Fgura United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Buhagiar S. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Akande T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 1 - 2, Sarraude J. ⚽,
54', 1 - 3, Buhagiar S. ⚽,
79', 1 - 4, Caruana D. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Żurrieq may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fgura might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Żurrieq won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.7:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Żurrieq won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żurrieq FC
Maltese Challenge League
17.12.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Żurrieq	1:4 ✺
13.12.25	Gudja United - Żurrieq	1:0 ✺
09.12.25	Żurrieq - Santa Lucia	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	Żurrieq - Balzan	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Vittoriosa Stars - Żurrieq	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLW
- Fgura United
Maltese Challenge League
14.12.25	Fgura United - Mtarfa	8:0 ✺
10.12.25	Fgura United - Balzan	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Vittoriosa Stars - Fgura United	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	Fgura United - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	St. Andrews - Fgura United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
19.01.25	Żurrieq - Fgura United	0:3
28.10.23	Żurrieq - Fgura United	1:4
09.10.22	Fgura United - Żurrieq	1:4

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