Match Info

Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 3

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Fgura United		Balzan

	1	X	2
	6.1	4.15	1.42
	6.1	4.31	1.41
	6.18	4.31	1.43	Watch
	6	3.8	1.4
	5.7	4.15	1.5
	6.51	4.1	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.1 ↓ (6.51)	4.14 ↑ (4.1)	1.43 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fgura United
14.8%

Draw
21.9%

Balzan
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

22.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

21.5%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fgura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fgura United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Fgura United - Balzan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fgura will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Balzan will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Dimeji A. (Penalty Awarded),
44', 0 - 2, Portelli J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 1 - 2, Mosquera Larrahondo S. D. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Balzan is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fgura won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Fgura won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fgura	2	1	1	0	5:1	4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fgura United
Maltese Challenge League
01.03.26	Fgura United - St. Andrews	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Fgura United	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Swieqi United - Fgura United	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Mġarr United - Fgura United	2:4 ✺
01.02.26	Fgura United - Sirens	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWL
- Balzan FC
Maltese Challenge League
28.02.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Balzan	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Balzan - St. Andrews	1:4 ✺
15.02.26	Marsa - Balzan	1:4 ✺
08.02.26	Melita - Balzan	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
10.12.25	Fgura United - Balzan	1:2

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