Match Info

FA Trophy - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Żurrieq		Naxxar Lions

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.7	1.62	Watch
	4.44	3.9	1.6
	4.45	4.09	1.62	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.62
	4.57	3.9	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↓ (5.14)	3.84 ↓ (4.08)	1.61 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żurrieq
20.3%

Draw
23.6%

Naxxar Lions
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

22.1%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

21.7%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żurrieq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Naxxar Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naxxar Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Żurrieq - Naxxar Lions Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Borg J. (G) 8. Aquilina G. 26. Bezzina S. 96. Darmanin S. (C) 11. De 5. Glamour E. 10. Grech S. 15. Jon Harding W. 9. Londe L. 16. MacKay S. 21. Schneider B.	1. Debono M. (G) 20. Costa Goncalves G. 5. Gustavo Felipe 33. Joao Moura 3. JP Iseppe 18. Letherby D. 8. Pace Cocks N. (C) 9. Pahama N. 19. Rosiel 24. Vinicius Baiano 11. Vitinho
Substitutes
2. Aquilina D. 18. Borg C. 1. Caruana L. 7. Caruana L. 6. Cassar S. 33. Farrugia M. 99. Mallia K. 17. Monney J. 3. Sciberras G. 19. Tabone M. 20. Zammit I.	80. Azzopardi J. (G) 17. Bugeja F. 13. Bugeja S. 7. Fenech M. 14. Gauci C. 30. Guehi S. 22. Kontchou C. 21. Micallef M. 15. Montero Y. 25. Portelli O. 99. Vella A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Vinicius Baiano ⚽,
44', Grech S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', JP Iseppe 🟨,
71', Aquilina G. ↓, Zammit I. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Jon Harding W. ⚽,
80', Letherby D. 🟨,
81', MacKay S. ↓, Borg C. ↑,
86', Pahama N. ↓, Montero Y. ↑,
87', Letherby D. ↓, Micallef M. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
103', Jon Harding W. ↓, Monney J. ↑,
106', Costa Goncalves G. ↓, Kontchou C. ↑,
111', De 🟨,
114', 1 - 2, Vitinho (Penalty Awarded),
117', Zammit I. 🟨,
118', Vinicius Baiano ↓, Guehi S. ↑,
120', Kontchou C. 🟨,
120+1', Joao Moura 🟨,

Preview

Żurrieq is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Naxxar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Żurrieq may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Żurrieq has had a series of away games.

In this match, Naxxar is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Żurrieq won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.3:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Żurrieq won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.5:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żurrieq FC
Maltese Challenge League
28.02.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Żurrieq	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Gudja United - Żurrieq	0:3 ✺
14.02.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Żurrieq	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Sirens - Żurrieq	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Żurrieq - Mġarr United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLT
- Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League
01.03.26	Naxxar Lions - Birkirkara	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Naxxar Lions	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Naxxar Lions - Gżira United	4:2 ✺
14.02.26	Naxxar Lions - Sliema Wanderers	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese FA Trophy
06.02.25	Żurrieq - Naxxar Lions	0:4
Maltese Challenge League
05.02.23	Naxxar Lions - Żurrieq	3:0
02.09.22	Żurrieq - Naxxar Lions	1:4

Żurrieq - Naxxar Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide