Match Info

Date: 15 September 2022, Thursday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)

Referee: Griffith I. A. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Žalgiris		Basel

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.95
	3.6	3.4	2
	3.85	3.5	1.98
	3.65	3.45	1.98
	3.86	3.54	1.98
	3.64	3.45	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.7)	3.47 ↑ (3.3)	1.98 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris
25.1%

Draw
27.2%

Basel
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

28.4%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

28.5%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	23.1%	53.8%

Žalgiris - Basel Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 12 - 23.1%). Basel will win (votes: 28 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basel: 40.2% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Žalgiris has currently - 1, has a chance of 1st (16%), has a chance of 2nd (31%), has a chance of 3rd (34%), has a chance of round of 16 (23%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Basel has currently - 3, has a good chance of 1st (59%), has a chance of 2nd (24%), has a small chance of 3rd (14%), has a good chance of round of 16 (68%), has a chance of qtrs (23%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 39, importance 66, match rating 53. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Now both teams are in good shape.

Recently Žalgiris have a series of guest games.

Basel will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Basel: Amdouni Z. (Injury) Calafiori R. (Muscle Injury) Essiam E. (Knock) Kade A. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
11.09.22	Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.09.22	Slovan Bratislava - Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
03.09.22	Džiugas Telšiai - Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
31.08.22	Žalgiris - Riteriai	2:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
28.08.22	Hegelmann Litauen - Žalgiris	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTTWW
- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
11.09.22	Basel - Grasshoppers	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.09.22	Basel - Pyunik	3:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
03.09.22	Sion - Basel	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Zürich - Basel	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.08.22	Basel - CSKA Sofia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW

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