Match Info

Super League - Round 24

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade de Tourbillon (Sion)

Referee: Kanagasingam A. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Sion		Basel

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3	Watch
	2.32	3.3	2.88
	2.38	3.53	3.16
	2.49	3.45	2.78	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.9
	2.34	3.41	2.86	Watch
	2.3	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.8)	3.38 ↓ (3.58)	2.94 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sion
40.4%

Draw
27.7%

Basel
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

25.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

25.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sion's performance.

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Basel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sion than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	37.5%	45.8%

Sion - Basel Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Sion will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Basel will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basel: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Basel (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Basel (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.91) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Basel (1.57) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Basel (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Racioppi A. (G) 14. Lavanchy N. 28. Hajrizi K. 17. Kronig J. 20. Hefti N. 21. Chipperfield L. 88. Kabacalman A. (C) 8. Baltazar 29. Berdayes T. 33. Nivokazi R. 7. Chouaref Y.	1. Hitz M. (G) 27. Ruegg K. 24. Daniliuc F. 3. Vouilloz N. 29. Cisse M. 22. Leroy L. 14. Bacanin A. 18. Duranville J. 10. Shaqiri X. (C) 19. Soticek M. 37. Koloto G.
Substitutes
13. Boteli W. 25. Diack L. 70. Kololli B. 22. Llukes A. 39. Lukembila J. 6. Marquinhos Cipriano 12. Ruberto F. (G) 5. Sow N. 19. Surdez F.	43. Akahomen M. 17. Broschinski M. 28. Kacuri D. 8. Koindredi K. 21. Salah I. 13. Salvi M. (G) 31. Schmid D. 11. Traore B. 6. Tsunemoto K.
Coaches
Tholot D.	Lichtsteiner S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Hajrizi K. 🟨,
16', Chipperfield L. 🟨,
22', Daniliuc F. ↓, Schmid D. ↑,
41', Ruegg K. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Chouaref Y. ⚽, Hajrizi K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Duranville J. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
46', Shaqiri X. ↓, Kacuri D. ↑,
52', Ruegg K. ↓, Tsunemoto K. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Kronig J. ⚽,
65', Baltazar 🟨,
66', Kronig J. 🟨,
67', Bacanin A. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
75', Nivokazi R. ↓, Boteli W. ↑,
80', Chipperfield L. ↓, Sow N. ↑,
86', Chouaref Y. ↓, Kololli B. ↑,
86', Berdayes T. ↓, Lukembila J. ↑,
86', Kabacalman A. ↓, Surdez F. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sion won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Basel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Basel: Kaio Eduardo (Injury) Metinho (Knee Injury) van Breemen F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sion: Rrudhani D. (Injury) Shala A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sion won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:39. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sion won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sion	10	6	1	3	23:17	6	19
6	Basel	9	4	1	4	17:17	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sion
Swiss Super League
07.02.26	Sion - Luzern	0:0 ✺
Swiss Cup
03.02.26	Grasshoppers - Sion	4:3 ET ✺
Swiss Super League
31.01.26	Servette - Sion	3:3 ✺
24.01.26	Sion - Luzern	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Basel - Sion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLTTT
- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
08.02.26	Basel - Zürich	2:1 ✺
Swiss Cup
04.02.26	St. Gallen - Basel	2:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
01.02.26	Basel - Thun	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Basel - Viktoria Plzeň	0:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
25.01.26	Zürich - Basel	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
18.01.26	Basel - Sion	1:1
30.08.25	Sion - Basel	0:1
01.03.25	Basel - Sion	2:0
26.01.25	Basel - Sion	4:1
Swiss Cup
04.12.24	Basel - Sion	3:2 penalties
Swiss Super League
31.08.24	Sion - Basel	1:1
27.04.23	Sion - Basel	1:2

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