Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)

Referee: Stojchevski I. (Mkd)


	Žalgiris		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.7	Watch
	4.4	3.7	1.68	Watch
	4.8	3.75	1.7
	4.75	3.8	1.73
	4.92	3.88	1.7
	4.95	3.85	1.67	Watch
	4.7	3.9	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (3.8)	3.8 ↑ (3.28)	1.7 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris
19.8%

Draw
24.8%

Ferencvárosi
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

28.4%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

27.6%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferencvárosi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferencvárosi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3%	1.5%	95.5%

Žalgiris - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferencvárosi will win (64 of 67 users predict this - 95.52%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.57% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gertmonas E. (C) 3. Pavelic M. 26. Hnid N. 31. Vucur S. 12. Mamic P. 18. Novikovas A. 5. Gorobsov N. 71. Kendysh Y. 33. Milickovic M. 10. Golubickas P. 80. Antal L.	90. Dibusz D. (C) 25. Makreckis C. 3. Mmaee S. 27. Cisse I. 17. Civic E. 18. Siger D. 15. Abu Fani M. 16. Zachariassen K. 20. Traore A. 19. Varga B. 50. Marquinhos
Substitutes
7. Bopesu J. 15. Buff O. 25. Duka T. (G) 23. Jansonas R. 8. Karashima Y. 9. Kazlauskas D. 4. Kazukolovas K. 13. Mikoliunas S. 11. Vaca L. 22. Verbickas O.	22. Abena M. 30. Barath P. 7. Ben Romdhane M. 13. Esiti A. 55. Katona B. 10. Nguen T. C. 11. Owusu 23. Paszka L. 72. Pesic A. 63. Radnoti D. (G) 1. Varga A. (G) 31. Wingo H.
Coaches
Cheburin V.	Mate C.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Žalgiris is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferencvárosi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Žalgiris could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ferencvárosi is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Žalgiris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Žalgiris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.08.23	Dainava Alytus - Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.08.23	Häcken - Žalgiris	5:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
13.08.23	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.08.23	Žalgiris - Häcken	1:3 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
06.08.23	FA Šiauliai - Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLWLT
- Ferencvárosi TC
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Ferencvárosi - Hamrun Spartans	2:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
13.08.23	Ferencvárosi - Puskás Academy	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Hamrun Spartans - Ferencvárosi	1:6 ✺
Hungarian NB I
06.08.23	Videoton - Ferencvárosi	3:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Shamrock Rovers - Ferencvárosi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
27.07.21	Žalgiris - Ferencvárosi	1:3
20.07.21	Ferencvárosi - Žalgiris	2:0

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